Rant away about COVID, the vaccine, etc.
Comments
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Beesie - Have you heard of Robert Malone? He was involved with mRNA technology early on. He claims to be the inventor of the mRNA vaccines when it was a collaborative effort by many scientists. He's going around podcasts and discouraging vaccinations. It sounds a bit like some of what we see posted about not knowing everything, the truth will come out, but it may be too late for some, etc. Ominous.
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I am not a teacher. I am also extremely cautious about the virus because I am still in active early treatment.
SerenityStat, there is a huge difference with proper mitigation in schools. We have two kids still in school. They are both elementary school aged. Last year, during the summer, the school got a new ventilation system/filter system. They even purchased a gate which disinfects the kids clothing. They implemented masking, twice a day temperature checks, masks all day including recess, separated students into cohort groups of ten for indoor instruction, ate outside, the list goes on.
They go to a private school of 500 students k-12. Now compare that to public school. Masks are not required during recess. They don't have 6 feet between them, and there is not enough money to buy a new ventilation system. Teachers also aren't required to do temp and symptom checks twice a day. Kids eat indoors or out, but not distanced. Our kids' school had two cases of Covid last year - not from school, but from people visiting the families. So far this year there was one case on the first day of school! The public school closest to us had 13 cases in the same time period.
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Here's an article on Malone:
The Vaccine Scientist Spreading Vaccine Misinformation https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2021/0...
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Does a teacher who retired this past June count? When we returned to school, here is what my district did:
- All classrooms across the district were fitted with a Merv 13 air filters that are regularly checked and replaced.
- teachers are keeping classroom windows open
- the district is providing hand sanitizer, sanitizing wipes, masks and shields (for teachers)
- though vaccination is not mandatory for staff, the district reports that 95% of the teachers are vaccinated. Those who are not vaccinated must test weekly.
- masking is mandatory for all, period! We do have some special needs students who may not be able to mask but I am not sure what is being done for them.
- families who do not feel comfortable sending their children to school or do not want their children to mask are being offered an optional program. An outside company will be providing an on line program. Their teachers are not district employees. Don’t know much about this as it started this school year.I want to add that I worked for a small, well off school district that has the means, over and above assistance from the state, to do whatever is necessary to make students, staff, and parents feel safe. This is not the case with every district and highlights another inequity in public education.
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TB90 - I laughed out loud! Good one. I have not laughed in a long time. (witches believed in vaccination BA HA HA!)
Exbrnx - I do know Harry Potter. Read that series aloud to the family. After you do a lot of out loud reading you recognize which writers lend themselves well to that and which don't. I admire Rowlings skill but wow, that was a tough slog of reading!
JHL, thank you. I think you lend perspective to a conversation that often lacks that. I know that I may be under-reacting by waiting to better understand the situation and see the longer game of the outcomes. It is equally as likely that the majority are over-reacting. At this point in time no one knows. Our best guesses might be wrong. Or right. At any rate we're in the thick of it now and I can't help but think that the saying 'can't see the forest for the trees' applies in spades in this situation. -
I live in Texas where masks are not allowed to be made mandatory. My 7th grade started school on 8/18 and as of 8/27 they are closing the school until after labor day. 18% of students and staff were out with covid or covid symptoms.
None of the teachers were wearing masks and very few children.
This is beyond frustrating. My daughter has not had school normalcy since before spring break of her 5th grade year. She is now a 7th grader.
I'm worried about the kids and how this is going to shape their views of the world.
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tangandchris,
Wow, just wow! Anyone who even enters my former schools campus must wear a mask. Same at my grandson's and granddaughter's schools (three separate districts). I doubt our union would have agreed to a maskless return to campus. I hope your dd stays healthy!
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Bessie — I’m sure there is some overlap between anti-covid vax and people who don’t get the flu vaccine, but it’s definitely not absolute. My husband and I rarely bothered with the flu vaccine, even though our work offered it for free. Like the anti-covid vax crowd, we (mostly) didn’t bother with the annual flu shot because we were going (20s and 30s) and neither of us had ever had a major medical issue and we’re almost never sick. We probably got the flu once each in 15 years and in both cases they were fairly mild leaving us feeling sick, but not truly knocked out by it.
That being said, we paid attention to the news and when there were particulars virulent strains of flu we would get the flu shot. (maybe 3 years of of 10?)
But covid was different. We were home from work from April through June 2020 as covid precautions and we were eager for a vaccine we could take to get the world back to normal. Then in July I got diagnosed with breast cancer and our entire paradigm shifted.
We got covid vaccines as soon as we were eligible and I could find us appointments (stalking the websites and trying over and over and over again.)Going forward we will get the annual flu vaccine — my health has changed so much that we won’t risk even the flu if there is a chance to prevent us from becoming really sick. Chemo taught me what sick really looks like and I would prefer to avoid it in the future as often as I can, and a flu vaccine is a way to do that.
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I thought the insurance thing was not that covid costs won't be covered at all, but rather where they had been previously waiving cost share for covid costs, they will now apply cost share. That seems reasonable. I don't know where I read that. Maybe it was my own plan, who knows. Whatever I read sounded reasonable.
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Just heard that hospitalizations are on a downward trend here. Over 30,000 infusions of monoclonal antibodies, and it seems to be working to keep people out of the hospital. I have had the flu shot, although I don't put faith in it because it's a shot in the dark which strain is going to happen. If I get the flu and test positive, I can get Tamiflu if I do it early enough.
I read an article posted here. Sorry, it's too hard to keep who posts straight in my head because I read it before I went to sleep. I looked up the author. He's a mathematician.
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I've decided against posting counterpoint documentation, not because I don't believe them, as there are scientific papers I'm reading as well, but I'm not sure anyone is open to reading counterpoints. I may be wrong, and I apologize if I'm wrong in my assumption. I have read a lot of the documentation posted here.
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https://coronavirus.duke.edu/2021/08/new-guidance-on-covid-19-for-the-duke-community/
Duke's comprehensive surveillance testing program has given us detailed insight into the pervasiveness of the Delta variant in the university community regardless of vaccination status. In the last week alone, 304 undergraduates, 45 graduate students and 15 employees tested positive for COVID-19 and are isolating. All but eight of these individuals were vaccinated, and the vast majority of them were, and continue to be, asymptomatic. A small number have minor, cold- and flu-like symptoms, and none have been hospitalized. -
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/unvaccinated-...
unvaccinated are "five times more likely be infected and over 29 times more likely to be hospitalized with Covid-19"
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KBL - The article from Duke shows that repeated testing in a highly vaccinated population is working to prevent serious illness. Masks are working. Their next step is to mandate vaccination and masks to mitigate further spread. 👍
As a result, the following new guidelines will be in effect starting Monday, August 30:
- Masks will now be required on the Duke campus in all indoor and outdoor locations, unless you are exercising [outdoors] alone, eating or drinking, or otherwise not around others. After vaccinations, masks are the best way to prevent the spread of COVID. We have seen this on campus and in our health system.
- Indoor group seating at Duke Dining facilities will be temporarily suspended. All Duke Dining facilities will transition to grab and go, and more than 25 tents have been erected across the campus to provide outdoor seating for meals and other gatherings.
- Given the absences in some undergraduate classes due to increased number of students in isolation, faculty teaching undergraduate courses have the option to teach remotely for the next two weeks if they would prefer. This is not a requirement but an accommodation to allow for increased flexibility as needed; those who are able to continue teaching in person should certainly do so.
- New limitations will be placed on student activities to reduce the possibility of COVID transmissions. Individuals and groups that violate these limitations will face disciplinary consequences. Further information will be provided directly to students.
- The COVID-19 vaccination will now be required for ALL Duke faculty and staff as a condition of employment. Details will be provided directly to those employees who have not yet submitted proof of vaccination or an approved medical or religious exemption, as well as their deans or vice presidents. As of today, 92% of our 22,136 faculty and staff are fully vaccinated.
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Also it doesn't appear that anyone was hospitalized or needed monoclonal antibody. Getting the vaccine is free and easy. Prevention is better, is it not?
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"All but eight of these individuals were vaccinated, and the vast majority of them were, and continue to be, asymptomatic. A small number have minor, cold- and flu-like symptoms, and none have been hospitalized."
Yes, that's exactly the way the vaccination is supposed to work. It doesn't stop someone from getting the virus. But it does stop most people from even knowing that they have the virus - if someone is completely asymptomatic, under normal circumstances they wouldn't go to get tested. And for those who do exhibit symptoms, the symptoms are minor and manageable.
This also highlights why it is so important to get vaccinated. The Delta variant is out there, everywhere. Those who are unvaccinated are at high risk. In Toronto, 68% of all residents are fully vaccinated (76.6% of all those over the age of 12). But our cases of Covid are increasing, as are our hospitalizations. The vast majority of cases and hospitalizations are among the unvaccinated (over 90%, last I read). Given that only 32% of the population is unvaccinated, the infection rate and rate of hospitalization among the unvaccinated must be climbing to a pretty high number. The same is likely true everywhere. That's scary to me. I don't understand how it's not scary to those who are unvaccinated.
runor, thinking about to our earlier exchange.... when you said:
"Do I not realize that millions are dead? Yes. But...how many people typically die in a year globally? Do we normally see a million die a year and this year we have 100 million dead? That would be a serious issue! But that is not what's happening. There is a spike."
I assumed that you were suggesting that the 4.5 million deaths from Covid probably didn't translate to be 4.5 million excess deaths. I interpreted your statement to be saying "Come on, we know that many of the elderly and ill who died of Covid would have died anyway."
The data I provided in fact suggests that the 4.5 million deaths from Covid most likely translates to be 7.5 million excess deaths, and this number is no doubt understated because so many of the unnecessary deaths from late diagnosis/treatment (of other diseases such as cancer and heart disease) won't happen for some time to come (to get to 7.5 million, I used the same % increase as found by the WHO in 2020, with 1.8 million Covid deaths and 3 million excess deaths). Your reply was "I do not doubt there have been excess deaths. I would want to understand better what caused those deaths and the demographics. I would want to understand how those deaths converted to life years lost."
To an earlier comment made in a different context, aren't you moving the goalposts? I disproved what I think was your point (yeah, I know that it's stupid to assume and interpret) so now it's "Ah, okay, through the pandemic we have significantly more excess deaths than there are even Covid deaths, but how many of those excess deaths should we really count? How many were a significant loss of life as opposed to just cutting a few years off at the end of someone's life? Those last few years don't count as much."
"I would want to understand better what caused those deaths and the demographics. I would want to understand how those deaths converted to life years lost." If 7.5+ million people who would not otherwise have died over the past 20 months have died because of a pandemic that has overtaken the entire world, why does anything else matter? Aren't 7.5+ million deaths too many? Isn't it something that we should be trying to stop and contain any way we can, before the 7.5 million becomes 15 million? I'm not trying to be difficult but I don't understand. At what point does this become something worthy of extraordinary action?
Maybe it's location. I am in a big city. I can't escape Covid. It is all around me. If I go out, even for a walk through our ravine, as we did yesterday, I can't help but come within 2-3 feet of people who are maskless. Any one of those people could be infected with Covid. Therefore to me, the urgency of lessening the viral load in society as a whole is critical. But maybe for those who live in rural settings, it's different. If you can easily avoid anyone who might be infected, the urgency of response to this virus and the need to tamp it down as quickly as we can might be much less evident. If that's what it comes down to, maybe I can understand that. But it's different than debating the relevance of 7.5+ million deaths.
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How is
"Do I not realize that millions are dead? Yes. But...how many people typically die in a year globally? "
any different than
"If they would rather die," said Scrooge, "they had better do it, and decrease the surplus population."
Seems like the same scary mindset to me.
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I wondered many times when a group of people are allowed to die without intervention, if the people in power are thinning the herd.
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I have a question regarding the booster vaccine. It is not a rant but very relevant so I leave it here maybe some of very knowledgable people here can help me. Quebec has announced yesterday that imunocompromised population are eligible for the third dose. I can walk in to a clinic and get it today. Is there a best time to get it? I am only two weeks out of my last weekly Taxol and I am not sure if my body has recovered to produce enough antibodies. Or it does not really matter?
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Aram, when the first covid vax became available, the recommendation from my cancer agency was to do it just *before* your next chemo treatment - because odds are at that point your immune system is the strongest. So 1-2 days before your taxol would probably be good.
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Aram - My lab reports show my RBC recovered to normal levels by 3 weeks after Taxol. The others recovered before then. Your immune system is still getting stronger, but it might be sufficient now.
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The smallpox vaccine was developed in 1759. There were still people in the early 20th century who denied the severity of the virus, refused the vaccine, and died before smallpox was finally eradicated in 1979. I'm not sure whether debating with those that are waiting for more information is worthwhile. The problem will take care of itself eventually. With improved science and communication it shouldn't take 200 years but people can be stubborn I guess.
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True that, jetcat! I mentioned somewhere that I was one of the last group of people to receive a smallpox vaccine prior to entering the Peace Corps in 1977. I saw many people who had survived smallpox and it wasn’t pretty, but they were lucky, they survived.
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thank you Moth and serenitystat
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So many times I've wondered how we as a country can survive when fully 30% of our citizens have fallen down a rabbit hole of propaganda and deliberate disinformation (coming mostly from Russian hackers) about the Coronavirus and vaccines, among other very important things.
Then I remind myself that we survived WR Hearst and the yellow journalism of the 1890's and the hysteria surrounding the "Red Scares" of the 1950's. The were just as egregious and damaging in their day as the anti-vaccination misinformation is now.
It gives me a small glimmer of hope that we'll get past at some point. Just wish that day would come sooner rather than later. I want life to be normal again.
Trish
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Here's a good read. Explains why SARS-CoV-2 was never like a cold or flu.
https://www.theinsight.org/p/novelty-means-severity-the-key-to
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Beesie : you will forgive that my brain is not a mathematical object so this will all seem like gibberish to you.
Quoted from your post "I assumed that you were suggesting that the 4.5 million deaths from Covid probably didn't translate to be 4.5 million excess deaths. I interpreted your statement to be saying "Come on, we know that many of the elderly and ill who died of Covid would have died anyway."
I do feel that many of the elderly who died were indeed going to be dead shortly of one thing or the other. It's not me making this up, I have heard this assertion in many places. So this is why I want to understand WHO is dying and life years lost. In forming my ideas/decisions about how big a threat covid is, I want to understand these numbers. Does it matter to me WHO is dying? Yes. Before we swoop in to mutilate everyone's lives we need to have a serious situation on our hands. Who and how many are the numbers I want to know.Quoted from your post "To an earlier comment made in a different context, aren't you moving the goalposts? I disproved what I think was your point (yeah, I know that it's stupid to assume and interpret) so now it's "Ah, okay, through the pandemic we have significantly more excess deaths than there are even Covid deaths, but how many of those excess deaths should we really count? How many were a significant loss of life as opposed to just cutting a few years off at the end of someone's life? Those last few years don't count as much."
Did I actually say the last years of life don't count as much? That was not cool. But I have said that when someone has passed their statistical life expectancy, we should not count their death as an emergency. A tragedy, a grief and pain for families, yes, but not an emergency for which we lock the world down and create the agony we have created. That is not to say we should not take steps to protect the vulnerable, elderly and otherwise. I think that is held universally to be reasonable. But I do not feel that the death of the frail elderly warrants the course we have taken.
I did some math and for you Beesie will attempt to explain my mental process. I warn you, it's clunky.
So. Here comes a virus. It's a pandemic. A deadly pandemic! I brace for massive deaths. I brace for everyone who encounters it dying equally across the board. Because that is what I think of when I think of smallpox or polio or tuberculosis. Those things attacked everyone regardless of age and when kids got them, if they survived, they were left often with lifetime disabilities and problems as a result. With this in my viewfinder I waited for news to roll in. What rolled in first was that primarily it was a disease that attacked the frail elderly or people with co-morbidities and that was fairly quickly established. That, for me, was a serious downgrade in urgency. Okay, this is NOT ebola or diptheria or MERS or SARS (which seems like viruses you seriously don't want!). This was an issue and serious concern but not an emergency. We know who needs targeted protection. But then global hysteria unfolded. Kids, the safest of all, paid a huge price in what happened to their usual lives! Not a price inflicted by a disease but inflicted by humans who make rules! And we continue to see one offense after another made not by this virus, but by people's response to it! I keep hearing we could get back to normal life if we could get covid under control. No! We can get back to normal life when we can get rabid rulers back in control. When we can get fear and actual threat in perspective.
Here comes the math part, Beesie. Brace yourself. My simple mind thinks: how many people are alive on the planet right now. About 7.7 billion. What if we had a disease that killed 1% of the world. How many dead people would that be? - 77 million dead people. What if it killed 1/2% of global population - 35 million dead. 1/4% of global population - 17 million dead. 1/8% of global population - 8.5 million dead. 1/16th of the global population is 4 million dead. We are now in the realm of numbers you posted. Do I feel this number warrants the steps taken? No. We want to vaccinate 100 % of the world population to prevent the death of 1/16th of the planet? Sorry. No. This does not square anywhere in my mind. The money spent, the damage caused to save 1/16th of the planet? No! These numbers do not compute for me. The reaction does not compute.
Global deaths annually from all causes seem to hover between 50 and 60 million. That's how many people die every year when we DON'T have a pandemic! That number goes up by 4.5 million and we are going to hurl the world into chaos as a result? Beesie, bless you, but sorry this DOES NOT qualify to me as a pandemic worth crashing the globe over. If Canada, with a population of 40 million had 4 million dead, oh hell yes that would be a serious all out emergency! If that number included all age demographics as equally likely to die, I think we would be insane not to be scared to death of what was going on. But that is not the case. Not even close.
Do not anyone misunderstand me! I am not antivax. I am anti-force and coercion. I think anyone who wants a vax should have it. Maybe we need to develop this into something like a flu vax where, as you reach a certain age it becomes prudent for you to take an annual shot. Or if you are immune compromised take the shot. In the meantime I think the more younger (60 and under) people who develop a natural immunity to this the better off they will all be as they get older. Word is this will become endemic and we will have to learn to live with it and managing it as opposed to eradicating it becomes a reasonable goal attainable without human rights violations. But vax passes and lockdowns and cops attacking citizens in civilized societies? No. The numbers, as I see them, simply do not justify any of this extreme insanity. And that is about the best I can lay out my thought process. -
That anyone has to be forced or coerced to follow public health orders in a pandemic is shocking to me. Luckily it's a minority
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From Johns Hopkins:
"Coronaviruses are a type of virus. There are many different kinds, and some cause disease. A coronavirus identified in 2019, SARS-CoV-2, has caused a pandemic of respiratory illness, called COVID-19."
https://www.hopkinsmedicine.org/health/conditions-...
Covid is SARS-CoV-2, while SARs is SARS-CoV.
Quotes from health line: " Both COVID-19 and SARS are caused by coronaviruses. The virus that causes SARS is known as SARS-CoV, while the virus that causes COVID-19 is known as SARS-CoV-2. "
https://www.healthline.com/health/coronavirus-vs-s...
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9.7% of the Cdn covid deaths are in the 60-69 age
3.8% in the 50-59. I don't think that's so old to say "ok yeah, well you've lived long enough so no, I'll oppose public health measures to reduce everyone's risk". I just cannot feel that way.
& anyway, average life expectancy has been going up because we've taken public health measures such as norwalk & c.diff prevention, good sanitation, annual flu vaccines, monitoring for respiratory viruses etc. to keep our vulnerable populations safe. These things cost time and money and effort and as a society we do it because it's morally right.
I think it's the same here. The public has a duty to each other, no matter the age of the people involved. & bottom line is I don't see the public health measures as "mutilating" anyone.
And let's remember Canada's goal was never covid zero. It has always been about keeping hospital capacity and ICU capacity available so if *we* need to get surgery or a scan or fall & break our hip, there's a bed, a nurse and a doctor available. Why wouldn't we all take all the public health measures to make that happen?
Wards are still running short staffed and the vaccination passports & mask mandates are designed to *prevent* a situation where case numbers climb so high that they once again swamp the hospitals & ICUs. This seems to me to be a very good goal.
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