Nearly 8 In 10 Do Not Know That Disease Is Incurable

Options

http://www.medicalnewstoday.com/releases/262209.php

This is in the UK but probably true everywhere that people do not know about metastatic breast cancer. No wonder we can't seem to find a cure!

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Comments

  • chrissyb
    chrissyb Member Posts: 16,818
    edited June 2013

    Mmm, sad isn't it?  Ignorance in this case is definitely not bliss.

  • NickyJ
    NickyJ Member Posts: 722
    edited June 2013

    I agree! Had to send an email to my employers today, regarding papers coming their way for me. Got a message back to say 'they hope its not too serious' !!!!??!!

    Ignorance, definitely not bliss.

    Nicky

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    I remember Etheridge commenting on Angelina's mastectomy decision as a "fearful" decision, and there are "options".   I was thinking, exactly what options was she referring to?  

    Maybe these are the great options for metastatic cancer she should tell the public about:  PET scans every few months (no holding her babies because she'd be radioactive for a few days, increased risk of secondary cancer down the road), jumping from one drug to another drug searching for a PFS of more than a few months, with x% chances of dying when each drug fails (they almost always fail), and dying on the average of a few months (triple negative) or a few years (ER+ or Her2+).   Wonderful options for young women like her.

    Angelina made a decision for a barbaric surgery on herself.    It is the best decision for her because:  metastatic breast cancer is incurable.   The public doesn't know that, maybe it's because there're people sugar coating "incurable" as "having options",  or "chronic", or "could be treated".   And some people just eat all this euphemisms like candies.

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    There are fearful decisions made DESPITE the facts.



    And there are fearful decisions made BECAUSE of what the facts are.



    I think Jolie made a decision BECAUSE of what the facts are. Who cares if it was a fearful decision, then?



    Is that MELISSA Etheridge making that statement?



    If so, I find that curious. Etheridge is almost 9 years out from being diagnosed with stage2b BC with a positive node.

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Yes Melissa Etheridge.   I'm not criticizing her or Angelina.   I think everybody does the best job for herself and her family and should be able to do anything, or, say any darn thing they want without being quoted or misquoted.   ie, Etheridge has the right to say "options".   But being more specific and honest would be a good opportunity to educate the public.

    The consequence of not being more specific and honest about the non-curing "options" for metastatic breast cancer, is this 8/10 stats in this post.   The public, including my family and all most everyone I talked too, assumed that breast cancer is the "good" cancer, and there is a cure, or there will be a cure any moment, so, no urgency in finding a real cure.  

    When in fact, metastatic breast cancer has no cure, and may not be for a while.   I used to think the reason for the lack of cure is purely technical.   Now I'm not so sure. 

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    Oh, no, jenrio... I didn't think you were saying anything wrong at all. I completely hear you.



    Melissa Etheridge has come across to ME as somebody who is über positive about her survival prognosis and I wonder if she understands just how serious her diagnosis was/ is.



    God bless her for being positive and taking an active role in her risk reduction (diet/ exercise/ stress reduction)-------but I almost feel like she doesn't understand how serious her situation was/ is. I feel this way watching interviews with her or reading transcripts of interviews with her.



    She had a 4cm primary tumor and 1 positive node... definitely no joke. My wife is stage 2b with 1 positive node-----and I'm fighting anxiety about it everyday.



    Maybe Melissa's view of Angelina's situation is a little cavalier sounding because Melissa doesn't understand the gravity. I dunno. I would love to get to where she is psychologically------but there's the possibility she's just ignorant about it all.



    I am a FAN of Etheridge's, mind you... if for no other reason than she is a stage 2b'er with a positive node who will be out 9 years come the Fall. But I wonder about her education regarding BC and it's seriousness.



    I really don't know.



    And even if she does totally 'get it'... I'm with you-----I wish she didn't feed the beast that is the public's ignorance regarding breast cancer. But she did. Inadvertently or not, by insinuating that Angelina Jolie had good options other than the preventative (we hope) BMX.



    Without a cure, why play around when the risk is 80% that you get BC?



    Why wait for it to happen before you then try to combat it? Don't let evil in. It's like opting to invite Dracula in the house and battling him instead of just locking him out to begin with. Yes you could fight him... Yes you could survive-----but why even go there when you could just lock him out? Some would say that the price of mastectomy is nothing to take lightly.... but my wife had to get one anyway and we'd consider it an affordable? price to pay for the peace of mind if we could have done it before it became invasive. You would think that Melissa Etheridge would get it. But perhaps Etheridge has no anxiety about her BC diagnosis, thus doesn't appreciate the peace of mind that Jolie bought for herself. WHY Etheridge would have no anxiety is beyond me, btw. Can't figure her out. I'm just rambling now.



    God bless.

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    I totally get you.   Etheridge may be one of the 20% who gets the seriousness of disease but chooses to be positive about it.   Or she may be the 80% who doesn't get it, then she's a victim of a very poor breast cancer education.

    Angelina made a good decision for herself.   But the Angelina effect seems to be just increasing the demand for a very incomplete, ineffective and expensive gene test(BRCAs), and the demand for a very brutal surgery that does not lead to new insight for cure;  and the publicity seems not to have increased the demand for the cure itself.  

    Either way, I'm not gonna criticize my fellow patients and their decisions or their free speech.   Just postulating that, maybe, all these missed opportunities over the years, lead up to this post's survey results: 80% of people are ignorant of the lack of MBC cure.   And I further suggest that, this ignorance directly contributes to the lack of urgency for MBC cure.

  • momto2angels
    momto2angels Member Posts: 289
    edited June 2013

    I have liver mets and while on vacation I had to go to the ER for surgery related pain and swelling.  The nurse said to me "I didn't even KNOW breast cancer could go to your liver". 

    Also ran into a woman who said she too was a bc survivor.  Told her about my diagnosis.  She said "well you're all done now and doing fine right?" I said.. actually I'm on chemo right now.  She said.. "but you have your hair".  I said yes, this one allows me to have hair but I've lost my hair 3-4 times already with other chemos.

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    In some ways, breast cancer has come out of the closet, but in some ways it's still a dirty little secret.



    You used to not be able to discuss it publicly. There was shame.



    Now you can talk about it, only you can't talk HONESTLY about it.



    What good is THAT?



    It's unbelievable how ignorant the world is about BC. How is it supposed to have the resources dedicated to stopping it if nobody thinks it's a real problem?







  • cp418
    cp418 Member Posts: 7,079
    edited June 2013

    Jenrio, Colt45 - Totally get what you say and clueless about Melissa E.  I'm stage 2A with one positive node and 6 years out.  How can anyone ever forget their BC dx that required multiple stressful scans, surgery, chemo, rads, bone loss, side effects of Tamoxifen and AIs?  The physical scars are part of it plus the long term fear and trauma will always stay with many of us.  Yes - they can give us a pill for that too....

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    Oh, the Melissa Etheridge stuff gets better.  Here's what she actually said:

    "I have to say I feel a little differently. I have that gene mutation too and it's not something I would believe in for myself. I wouldn't call it the brave choice. I actually think it's the most fearful choice you can make when confronting anything with cancer. My belief is that cancer comes from inside you and so much of it has to do with the environment of your body. It's the stress that will turn that gene on or not. Plenty of people have the gene mutation and everything but it never comes to cancer so I would say to anybody faced with that, that choice is way down the line on the spectrum of what you can do and to really consider the advancements we've made in things like nutrition and stress levels. I've been cancer free for nine years now and looking back, I completely understand why I got cancer. There was so much acidity in everything. I really encourage people to go a lot longer and further before coming to that conclusion.Melissa Etheridge Calls Angelina Jolie's Mastectomy 'the Most Fearful Choice You Can Make'

    So change your diet, reduce your stress and don't worry - even if you are BRCA positive, you won't get breast cancer!

    My conclusion from this is that Melissa Etheridge really doesn't understand the seriousness of this.  She is clueless.  And honestly, I can't see how someone how is BRCA positive, as she claims she is, could say all this.  If she is BRCA positive she would have talked to genetic counsellors and had it all explained to her.  The way that  she just dropped the comment "I have that gene mutation too" doesn't ring true to me.  Maybe she is BRCA positive but she has a particular lower risk BRCA2 mutation - I know that while most of the BRCA mutations present a higher risk, some might present a risk as low as 25%.  Something is definitely off in what she said.

    I used to like her but I've lost all respect for her with this statement.  To speak out about someone else's decision so negatively and so publically is just wrong. 

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    momto2angels, your experience is a good illustration of the 8/10 statistics.    I notice you are ER+, are you going to get Palbociclib?   Good luck, PM me if you need help.  I see a lot of me in you.

    Colt45, we like data and facts, so here are some more about Angelina effect:  http://www.google.com/trends/explore?q=metastatic+breast+cancer%2C+BRCA1%2C+BRCA2%2C+breast+cancer+cure%2C+mastectomy#q=metastatic%20breast%20cancer%2C%20BRCA1%2C%20BRCA2%2C%20breast%20cancer%20cure%2C%20mastectomy&cmpt=q

    Notice how "mastectomy" and "BRCA1" had a huge surge in interest around Angelina's announcement.  "breast cancer cure" or "metastatic breast cancer" don't get a blip.   That's what I call a wasted opportunity.  100 wasted opportunities over last twenty years led up to the survey results in this post.

    I'm not sure that the demand and resources for BC overall is lacking:  the mammograms, adjuvant radiation and adjuvant chemo, expensive and insensitive gene tests, all part of BC prevention machine, seem to be doing brisk business.   Expensive multiple rounds of adjuvant clinical trials seem to find plenty of funding.

    But this 80% ignorance ratio is very troubling.   It means that the demand for MBC research and cure is definitely not being voiced, and probably is not being met.         

    I'm going to refer to another thread, where I tried to sound a note of concern amidst universal cheerleading:

    http://community.breastcancer.org/forum/73/topic/806372?page=1#idx_23

    Beesie,

    You are very good at statistics, so forgive Etheridge for being clueless about cancer statistics.   She's a good artist brainwashed by a culture of ignorance and positivity, let's cheer her for being a good artist.   Let's all be kind to each other but do our best to get the truth out and cut down on the 80% MBC ignorance ratio and focus the demand for the cure.

    cp418, you are the most persistent researcher and poster.  You are why I'm here with my 2 cents at all.  Heidi, you are my inspiration in so many ways.   Sorry that I'm hijacking your thread.  

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    @jenrio: the graph in the link you provided is NUMBING.



    Good work, as always, ladies.



    I really value speaking with you all... I just wish it could be about something else.



    God bless you all.

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    jenrio, I'm happy to give Melissa Etheridge a pass on not understanding the statistics.  But where I can't give her a pass on is her lack of understanding of what it means to be BRCA+, particularly if she herself is BRCA positive.  To suggest that changing one's diet and attitude will keep someone who is BRCA positive cancer-free is beyond ignorant, it's dangerous. I also can't give her a pass on choosing to publically criticize Angelina Jolie for her decision.  It would be one thing to say "I was in the same position and I made a different decision and here's why" vs. in effect saying "She made her decision for the wrong reason (i.e. out of fear) and here's the better route that I took".  That's rude and mean and inappropriate and wrong on so many levels. There's no way to justify the way that she said what she said.

    As for the ignorance about advanced BC being incurable, I don't see how that affects whether or not there is a cure.  This ignorance is among the general population, and I agree that this is a problem both from a general standpoint (a basic understanding of breast cancer) and particularly from the standpoint that this can make life even more difficult for Stage IV patients who have to deal with this ignorance every day. 

    There is nothing to suggest that the medical community or the scientific community is equally uninformed, and I'm certain that they are not. As a general rule the public doesn't decide what drugs get developed; they may choose where to put their donations but rarely do they have any say in how those donations are used.  We could argue that people should be more involved and should insist that more effort and money be put into finding a cure, but most people are not that involved.  And when they are that involved, they might not all reach the same conclusion.  For someone who knows someone who has suffered terribly through chemo (as an example), her greatest interest might in finding less debilitating treatments.  As I've pointed out before, not everyone believes that finding a cure is the only meaningful goal of research. jenrio, that's your position, but that's not how everyone feels. Less debilitating treatments and intervention to prevent the development of breast cancer (for example, stopping all cases of ADH, ALH, LCIS and DCIS from ever developing to become invasive cancer) are also reasonable goals. And until there is a cure, treatments that significantly extend life and improve quality of life would be welcome too. At least I think so.

    In any case, wouldn't you think that any researcher working on the development of  any breast cancer drug is aiming to find the cure?  The drug - Tamoxifen, Herceptin, etc..., whatever drug ends up being developed and put onto the market - might turn out to only "cure" a portion of the women who use the drug, but in most cases I'd guess that the objective of the scientist as they start out and go through the development is to find a drug that works on everyone, and in doing so, effectively "cures" everyone who uses the drug.  So are there really two different paths, one for "treatment" drugs and one for a "cure"? 

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Tamoxifen does not "cure" advanced cancer in any *known* subset of breast cancer population.  It's effective in a subset of HR+ people, we do not which subset of HR+ patients.   Plus for the advanced breast cancer patient, it offers median PFS measured in months, not years.  ie, when it fails within a couple of years, the advanced cancer patient runs the significant risk of dying before they find another effective drug, if they are lucky.   That's why I call this a good drug, closer to a cure, but far from a cure yet, even a "subset" of cure.   

    Same story with AIs, with AC, with Taxol and almost all the other drugs developed before and during the last 20 years.    Herceptin and Palbociclib were the true rule breakers in the last 20 years.   Both in methodology and effectiveness, they are the closest to a cure of subset of BC as we ever got.   And they are not the cure yet.      

    Angelina and Etheridge get a free pass with whatever they want to do or say.    They are not there to give us medical advice based on sound statistics and genetic studies.   

    I'm going to throw yet another idea around.   What if, what if AMA or FDA is persuaded to make metastatic breast cancer an orphan disease?   40k people a year are dxed with MBC, way less than the orphan disease threshhold.   Once it's an orphan disease, government will give more incentives for drug makers to work on its cure and maybe old off-patent drugs could get a second look.   And no one should be allowed to raise money "for the cure" without acknowledging the existance and importance of the MBC patient population.  

    Right now MBC research for the cure is living off crumbs from the BC prevention machine.

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    jenrio, I didn't suggest that Tamoxifen or Herceptin cures those with advanced cancer, i.e. metastatic disease. I think this is one of the places you and I are not connecting on our arguments. I don't think that it's only those who are Stage IV who need to be cured. I don't associate the word "cure" only with Stage IV.

    Anyone diagnosed with invasive breast cancer can progress to develop mets and if they do, at that point they have what is currently considered to be a terminal disease. The way I see it, if someone who would otherwise have developed metastatic disease does not develop it because of a particular treatment (Tamoxifen or Herceptin, as examples), that person was in effect "cured" by that treatment.  The disease was stopped from developing any further and the individual did not develop mets.  So they've been cured, right? 

    I don't see that the cure of someone who is not yet Stage IV is any less valid than the cure of someone who is Stage IV.  If we can stop every case of Stage 0, Stage I, Stage II and Stage III breast cancer from developing to become Stage IV, then we have cured breast cancer, haven't we?  I appreciate the insensitivity of that statement to those who are currently Stage IV.  I sincerely hope that tomorrow we get an announcement about a new drug that cures even those who are Stage IV, but until we have this drug and it is available to everyone and it works on every different type of breast cancer and every different development of mets, I think the next best thing is "curing" patients before they ever become Stage IV.

    So I guess our definition of "finding a cure" is different.  To me, the cure will be found when no one ever dies of breast cancer.  This can happen through the development of a cure for MBC, which we desparately need for current MBC patients.  But over the longer term, this can happen by ensuring that no one ever progresses to develop metastatic breast cancer.  That can be achieved both through treatments that cure lower stage disease, and by preventing the development of breast cancer in the first place.  I realize that this isn't the answer for those who are Stage IV now or those who will become Stage IV within the next short period of time - and that could be any of us - but it may be the answer for our daughters and nieces and it's even more likely to be the answer for our granddaughters and their peers. 

  • cp418
    cp418 Member Posts: 7,079
    edited June 2013

    Yes !  I'll take permanent remission NED no matter what our stage! 

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Maybe you agree with me that early stage BC (EBC) should be separate from MBC that MBC gets dedicated and lion's share of publicity and funding and expedited clinical approval process?    Currently, MBC patients seem shoved off to a closet, and getting crumbs of research and publicity. 

    Correct me if I'm wrong, I've seen that 90+% of BC mortalities are MBC mortalities.   Early BC rarely kills.  So approximately in terms of saving lives:

    prevention for EBC (pEBC) <= Cure for EBC (cEBC) = prevention of MBC (pMBC)  <<< cure for MBC (cMBC)

    Tamoxifen or Herceptin or any current drugs are not enough for any of these goals.   Though they are all important for getting us closer to one or all of these goals.   But I don't know what time frame you are looking at, but almost 20 years after Herceptin, the major clinical breakthrough for MBC has been extremely limited (palbociclib, can't think of any other).   So reality is:  we accomplished none of these goals in 20 years.   What makes you think 20 years later, we'd have accomplished these goals, by keeping going the same scattershot direction trying to achieve all 4 goals?

    Further more, in terms of time cost and financial cost:

    prevention for EBC (pEBC) >=< Cure for EBC (cEBC) = prevention of MBC (pMBC)  >>> cure for MBC (cMBC)

    I explained why I think the costs compare this way in other thread.  Will maybe lift it here sometime.

    So given the poor return/cost ratio for cEBC & pEBC as compared to cMBC,  the current allocation of resources for these 4 goals were not optimal for achieving our goals.    I will suggest that the 80% MBC ignorance ratio as well as the other thread you started, are both symptoms of a longterm failure to allocate sufficient and optimal resources towards the goal of cMBC.

    Correct me if I'm wrong in my little optimization exercise.  Beesie, you mean well and we respect each other based on shared love for logic and desire to achieve the goals.     Whatever you say is fine don't worry about self-censorship.

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    I absolutely agree that any MBC treatment should get an expedited approval process.

    As for whether MBC needs to be separated out from the rest of BC when it comes to funding and research, I really don't know.  When I go to the U.S. government clinical trials website and input "breast cancer and drug", I come up with 3,882 clinical trials.  When I input "metastatic breast cancer and drug", I come up with 1,791 trials.  So of all the breast cancer drug clinical trials currently registered with the government, 46% include or are exclusively for those with metastatic breast cancer.  There's no question that we can use more development and more clinical trials, but still, what we have now seems like more than crumbs.

    "Correct me if I'm wrong, I've seen that 90+% of BC mortalities are MBC mortalities.   Early BC rarely kills."

    I think you are both right and wrong on that.  Undecided

    Breast cancer in the breast is, relatively speaking, harmless.  It's only when breast cancer cells move into a vital organ, and metastasize there, that breast cancer kills.  So I believe this means that 100% of BC mortalities are MBC mortalities. 

    However, based on the latest SEER data, at time of diagnosis, only 5% of women are diagnosed with MBC.  The latest SEER data also shows that the 10 year mortality rate for all women diagnosed with BC is 84.5% and the 15 year mortality rate is 75.9%.  So this means that the majority of women who die from BC were women who were not diagnosed, at least not initially, with MBC. They were diagnosed at an earlier stage but were later found to have cancer that progressed to become MBC.  If cancer cells have moved into the body but have not yet taken hold there, treatments such as chemo and hormone therapy and Herceptin can be successful at killing off those cancer cells.  In that way, these treatments stop the development of mets, and a future death from breast cancer is averted.  Personally I hope we see the development of more drugs and treatments that can achieve this, and particularly, ones that are more effective and easier on the patient.

    As I've said before, I don't think it's an "either / or" discussion.  I think we need both.  Drugs and treatments that cure MBC and drugs and treatments that cure (by way of stopping the development of mets) earlier stage women.

    Edited for typos (actually a missing word, "think" in the last paragraph) only.  Edited again to update the SEER data. I'd used 2009 instead of 2010, which I've now corrected.

  • Cowgirl13
    Cowgirl13 Member Posts: 1,936
    edited June 2013

    Beesie, I always find your posts very helpful and I think it also helps that you have been on this board a long time.

    Thank you.

    Liz

  • Heidihill
    Heidihill Member Posts: 5,476
    edited June 2013

    I'm loving the discussion here, I'm almost afraid to interrupt. LOL.

    As far as costs, I think it's hard to predict whether any breakthrough research will lead to a cure for all cancers or all stages. So I'm for broad research that helps us understand this disease.  I'm also all for an expedited clinical approval process for MBC and changing the  way trials are designed. For the latter, here is more info:

    http://www.cancer.gov/ncicancerbulletin/061212/page4

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_LhEEVEJi4

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JAg1Y4dPT4s

    (Thanks to Englishmajor for the youtube clips.)

    As far as crumbs, phase I and II trials, I think, are mostly for MBC, to see if animal study results translate to humans. Yes, it looks like we are the guinea pigs. Someone correct me if I'm wrong. Early phase trials also don't cost as much as phase III trials. So in terms of dollars it may still be crumbs. $3 million phase I trial compared to $300 million for phase III, for example. Switzerland leads the world in the share of funds going to MBC research at 11%. But it's a very small country.



  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Beesie, Heidi.   We have lot of common ground.   MBC mortality is 90% of BC mortality, expedited clinical trial process for MBC, more publicity for mbc, more money for basic research with a goal to cure, more money for translational research with goal of getting cure quickly through clinical trials.

    Heidi's pointing out why MBC clinical trials cost less than EBC adjuvant clinical trials.   MBC patients do the initial tests that gave us the most valuable information of drug performance in vivo and its side effect.   Progressing MBC patients have no choice but to take these huge risks with their lives in search of a cure.   these stage 1 and stage 2 trials are typically <100 patients.    costs 10million and 1-3 years.  

    in contrast, adjuvant trials (with the goal of MBC prevention) typically involve 300+ healthier early stagers and take 5 years minimum to track for each of the phase 1,2,3 tests.    Costs 300 million + 10 years are a reasonable estimate.

    Say our drug pipeline developes  200 drugs.  100 for MBC prevention (for a subset), 100 for MBC cure (for the same subset).  

    1. 1/100 is the true cure (90%+ long term survival, side effect could be horrible as long its not premature death, these kind of drugs require only phase 1,2 before approval),

    2. 4/100 is a great drug (80% response, PFS measured in years, side effect could be bad but not premature death, this kind of drugs may require only phase 1,2 before approval),

    3. 10/100 are good drugs (60% response, PFS measured in months, side effect need to be tolerable),  These kind of drugs would require phase 1,2,3 to test out.  

    4. 30/100 are ok drugs (30% response, PFS measured in months) .  These drugs may be dropped before phase 3.   

    So total cost for testing cures for MBC =  1) 1*5million + 2) 4*5million + 3) 10*300 million + 4) 85*2million.   The longest linear time cost is 10 years for the 3) kind of good drugs.   The great drugs and the cure actually would not require long wait.    Bad drugs will fail and fail quick and save us money to keep looking for cure.

    Compare this with the total cost for testing a prevention for MBC.

    1. 1/100 is the true prevention (99% prevention of EBC progressing to MBC, side effect very tolerable.  these kind of drugs require only phase 1,2,3 before approval, total of 15 years 300million),

    2. 4/100 are great drugs (90% prevention, side effect again must be really tolerable, or great drugs will be thrown out for adjuvant use.  this kind of drugs may require only phase 1,2,3 before approval 15 years and  300million),

    3. 10/100 are good drugs (% prevention above statistic signficance),  These kind of drugs would require phase 1,2,3 to test out.  (15 years and 300 million)

    4. 30/100 are ok drugs (maybe) .  These drugs should be dropped before phase 3.

    Total = 1) 300 million + 2)4*300 million + 3) 10*300 million + 4) 85*2million.  + 15 years assuming all trials run parallel.

    I hope it should be clear, the clinical trial cost for prevention of MBC is significantly higher than the clinical trial cost for cure of MBC.

    The money used to fund adjuvant trial of a single good prevention drug could easily have funded clinical trials for 10-100 drugs for curing MBC.    Is my logic flawed?

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    Heidi, your explanation of costs is helpful.

    jenrio, I understand that it is less expensive to develop/test drugs for those with MBC.

    So I guess you are right.  Let's put all the money against the development of drugs to find the cure for those with MBC.  Don't worry about the other 95% of women who are diagnosed with breast cancer that is Stage 0, I, II or III - who cares about them, after all, they aren't going to die from breast cancer, right?  Well, 20% of those early stagers will progress to develop MBC, but let's not worry about them; we'll have a cure by then.  And if the cure for your particular type of breast cancer hasn't been found by the time you progress, well, too bad about that. Your situation will be no different than it is for Stage IVs today... so why should we worry about you now?

    That is what you are trying to convince everyone is the right path for breast cancer drug development, right? Don't worry about stopping progression in women who are earlier stage, but instead direct all funding towards the cure for Stage IVs because, as you said in another post, "Once the cure is found, then stages will be no longer relevant, because stage 4 is as survivable as stage 0.  then early detection is no longer relevant, mammograms is no longer relevant, surgery is no longer relevant, even adjuvant chemo is no longer relevant, worrying about this/that pollutant is no longer relevant."

    So, to your question, "Is my logic flawed?"  Personally, I'd say "Yes."

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    You ladies are having a wonderful discussion and I fear my overly simplistic comment will look stupid.



    But, I'll do it anyway.



    If we had a genie bottle and had 1 wish coming that would be granted IMMEDIATELY-----I would wish for a cure. If we had a cure immediately, there would be no need for anything else. MBC wouldn't matter. Stages wouldn't matter. Because you can cure BC.



    However, because the cure cannot be granted instantaneously-----we need stop gaps AS WE PURSUE THE CURE. Research needs a multi-task approach. We need to treat you and extend survival AS WE develop the cure.



    I wish the public was more angry that we don't have a cure yet. I believe public pressure would raise the bar on research dollars.

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Beesie,  please don't take this personally.   When I state that the cost of 1 adjuvant clinical trial for a single *good* MBC preventive drug (% MBC prevention above statistical significance) is about the same as the cost of testing 10-100 MBC cure drug candidates, and takes longer in years.    I hope you could challenge my assertion objectively. 

    Here's another thread about 2 drugs (that may be good drugs for MBC, if not the cure) not able to get clinically tested, due to patents going off, for lack of funding.     Who knows how many drugs like BZA and Etacstil (the SERD the author mentioned that had clinical benefit but are now off-patent and never was approved) over the last 2 decades fell through cracks due to legal or financial reasons, and never saw the sunlight?

    http://community.breastcancer.org/forum/8/topic/806200

    Colt45, you get it.   Only let's not be angry, let's understand, let's figure it out, let's educate the public and let the public make informed choices on funding metastatic breast cancer research.

    I'm ok with funding MBC prevention adjuvant trials, but given its poor return/cost ratio, as long as it's just some crumbs compared to MBC cure and foundamental research.     I welcome all challenges to my analysis.  

    I left out neoadjuvant clinical trials, which I'm a big fan of, but they are very different from traditional adjuvant trials.    They are perfect for fail quick, and fail more paradyme that could generate the cure of the future.    But that's totally a separate topic.

  • Beesie
    Beesie Member Posts: 12,240
    edited June 2013

    jenrio, I'm not taking it personally.  You are. This is very personal for you. If you said "I have MBC and I am only interested in research that aims to cure MBC and I think that all research money should be spent on MBC", I would understand that and I wouldn't argue with you or debate you on it.  I wouldn't blame anyone with MBC for taking that position.  Your life is at stake.  Of course you might feel this way about breast cancer research.

    The problem is that you are not stating it that way.  You are trying to present a reasonable and logical argument to convince everyone else that your position on breast cancer research is the correct position and the one that everyone else - including all medical researchers - should take.  Focus all spending on finding a cure.  But only a cure is specifically for those who have MBC.  Drugs that cure earlier stages (by way of stopping progression so that women don't progress to Stage IV) are not worth the time, effort and money. Or at best, they should only get the crumbs of funding.

    I understand that your approach is better for you and for all Stage IVs.  I have tried to explain - numerous times - that this approach is not necessarily better for all women who are diagnosed with breast cancer, and it might not be the best approach to reduce mortality overall, when you consider all women who are currently diagnosed or will be diagnosed, rather than just those who are Stage IV today.  Over the past few days, in this thread and the previous one, I have presented you with lots of data and lots of studies and lots of arguments that try to explain this. To be honest, I've been doing this as much or more for the benefit of other readers than for you, because I understand that you have a very entrenched position on this, and I understand why.

    I think I've made my point.  I know that whatever I say or whatever data I present, or however I critique your data, it won't change your mind.  Getting into a back and forth debate about your made up dollar numbers and timelines and success rates on the cost to develop a MBC drug vs. the cost to develop a drug for those who are earlier stage would, for me, be an exercise in futility.  I wish you well, and I admire your passion.  At this point, all I will get out of furthering this discussion is frustration. 

  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    I thought you said "Personally" the answer is "yes", ie, my logic is flawed.

    Actually, whether I am stage IVer or not, it's totally irrelevant.  I'm surprised that my argument will be dismissed for my supposed stage IV status.   Hmmm.   I'm just being logical and calculating cost/benefit ratio for MBC prevention (ie, cure for EBC) vs MBC cure.

    Anyone, stage IVer or not, should be able to criticize my little argument, refine it with real numbers, or refute it with logic or real numbers.  

  • Colt45
    Colt45 Member Posts: 771
    edited June 2013

    jenrio said:



    "Colt45, you get it.   Only let's not be angry, let's understand, let's figure it out, let's educate the public and let the public make informed choices on funding metastatic breast cancer research."



    Let's replace 'angry' with 'disappointed' and 'upset'. I don't know if that makes a difference.



    But I'll use myself as an example: I did NOT 'get it' until this horrid disease landed on my doorstep.



    It isn't that I didn't care about other people getting breast cancer----I had NO idea how prevalent it was and I had no idea just how devastating to a life and the lives of entire families breast cancer is.



    I knew of women who 'had' breast cancer. I heard of women getting aggressive treatment (chemo, radiation, mastectomies) because they had breast cancer... But I thought with aggressive treatment, they were cured in almost every case. I thought if a woman had cancer 'come back' after treatment for breast cancer----that it was a different cancer and not breast cancer. I thought these women BEAT breast cancer, but just were extremely unlucky and got another cancer. These are just examples of how stunningly IGNORANT I was. I have no faith that the general public is any less ignorant. Breast cancer was never on my radar as a concern. Never. And without a cure, once you get it---you are in a different world for the rest of your freaking life. I know MANY great ladies (with pathologies similar to my wife) have told me 'it gets better'. I hope so. It HAS to.



    To me, it's unbelievable that breast cancer is such a relatively common affliction----and yet the masses are so freaking sleepy about it.



    The take home for me about breast cancer before my wife got it was that you may at times need harsh treatment----but that you survive, pretty much all the time. Once in a blue moon somebody gets a crazy aggressive case and it's too late or something. But far more women than my ignorant mind was imagining are dying DESPITE aggressive treatment. I had no idea.



    I remember Melissa Etheridge's reaction when SHE was going through treatment: she rhetorically asked "THIS is all we have?"



    EXACTLY, Melissa. I can't believe it either. And not only are the current treatment options barbaric, but they're also possibly futile.



    But the masses don't know this. They think 'we've got this'.



    I still think that stuff gets done when people " have finally had enough" of the problem.



    I don't think the world had "had enough" of breast cancer. The average person isn't appropriately concerned. Like I wasn't. Then that same person can't believe just how bad the situation when a loved one becomes afflicted.



    I know many women are pissed-----but I think there's a phenomenon whereby women who should be angrier (if for no other reason than becoming an angry, unified voting block CAN get things done faster than being more accepting and passive about what I consider a relatively lax effort against breast cancer) are just being too accepting. Many women are tough. They put up with a lot. But nobody should be accepting this.



    I think the gravity of breast cancer is being sugar coated publicly and it's taking the starch out of the fight for a cure.



    People just don't know how bad it is.



    I remember the M.A.D.D. campaign against drink drivers. There was graphic imagery and they really put the nightmare of drunk driving consequences in your face. They made you smell it.



    With breast cancer, I think the smell gets covered up. They don't like to show you the nightmarish consequences. They cute things up. The message isn't scary and people aren't scared as a result.



    When's it gonna stop? I am angry that nobody told me how awful breast cancer is. I'm angry my grandfather didn't know. If his generation did-----maybe there's already a cure.



    I DO think there needs to be more anger -----if for no other reason than to get the freaking cure machine shifted into a higher gear and into a more urgent manner of moving.



    I hear too much of 'lack of funding'. I live in America. There should be no shortage of dollars. Not with what we spend on nonsense. Hundreds of BILLIONS on horsespit. And we just don't have the dollars for cancer research...



    Yeah, I'm angry. Sorry for the rant. But I love my wife and I have 2 young daughters and I'm flipping mad about the sugar coated story I've been fed about breast cancer.



  • cider8
    cider8 Member Posts: 832
    edited June 2013

    Colt45, my thinking is very similar to yours. I had no idea what breast cancer really is. I hate the pink ribbons. I don't find a sisterhood in it and I do feel angry at how all this awareness has been sugar coated. I try be honest when I talk to people about BC, but there are many people who simply cannot absorb it. When I was explaining my latest diagnosis to my mom, a highly intelligent person, she tearfully told me she just didn't understand what I was telling her. Then she asked how many stages of cancer there were. This is a woman who delt with her father's cancer and had 3 brothers she loved dearly die of cancer. I think most people don't have an inkling until it hits home, which is how it has been for me. Before BC, I dove into autism and alcoholism, because they hit home. It was just so much to absorb and cope with that I told people I'm on a strict need to know basis! I stopped watching the news because I couldn't take any more grief.



    OK, I started rambling and can't remember my point there.



    But I have this other point. I feel sort of sick hearing an opinion that EBC should have little attention because it's not terminal (that's my take from what I've been reading here). What about that percentage that takes the slow journey to stage IV? What if the Stage IV cure leaves the body ravaged? As in cancer gone, but half a liver, brittle bones, pleural effusions, no thyroid function, profound fatigue, etc. At what point of Stage IV does the cure happen? It seems like Stage IV could have it's own subset of levels. Would the cure happen with the tiniest solitary lesion or would the cancer have to be more extensive and more immediately life threatening?



    How do you know which EBC progresses to IV? Would the MBC cure be able to help stop those cancers early? Or just go ahead and let it progress until mets?



    I am not good with statistics and siting facts and references and numbers and debating. I know I am scared that I'm on my 4th breast cancer in 2 years. I started out with mucinous ductal carcinoma. Rare, but slow growing. We can do a lumpectomy because it's small. But let's see if anything else is going on in there. Oh! About 8 cm of DCIS there, too. Whole breast has to go, but you won't need chemo or rads for that. Just Tamoxifen. Take the other breast too because it has some growth that could become cancer. Whoops! We found an IDC tumor and positive node during surgery. You'll need really aggressive chemo, but no rads! Uh-oh. We found a little smidge of IDC doing recon surgery. Looks like you'll need rads anyway! What's that? Now you have Inflammatory Breast Cancer in the other breast! It's the very worst kind you can have: highly invasive and aggressive, with a low survival rate to boot! You need more chemo, then surgery to take away as much as possible, and then we'll radiate the hell out of that side. And you get to be exhausted for years to come because your body is so beat up. That's the plan as long as it hasn't metastasized.



    Personally, I don't want anyone to endure what I have and will have to endure. I want the cure for all stages. I want breast cancer to be a virus that babies can be immunized from, like polio. I want breast cancer to be cured at the very first sign so the body doesn't have to be beaten down, broken down and mutilated. I think all aspects of breast cancer needs to be researched to find a cure and find better treatments. I do think MBC does not get enough attention. I don't think because of that EBC should get less attention. I have no answers.



    Yeah, I'm kind of a nut and pissed off at cancer.



  • jenrio
    jenrio Member Posts: 558
    edited June 2013

    Paula, for simplicity of argument, I didn't mention the gray zone between EBC and MBC, the Locally Advanced BC (LABC)which has high risk of metastasis.   LABC like EBC, rarely kill by itself or its none-metastasizing side effect.   So the cure for MBC by definition include cure for LABC and EBC essentially for free.   Due to IBC, you have LABC.   So I hope for the cure for metastatic IBC will be here soon like the cure for other subtypes of MBCs.     Also, I hope you find a good research oncologist specializing in IBC, because IBC is very different from normal BC, may involve different treatment than normal EBC, LABC and MBC.

    Paula and Colt45, I thought I was just exceptionally ignorant before my dx, but I guess I really was the 80% too.   For twenty years, I assumed that breast cancer  cure is a well funded war that is already all but won, and expect the veterans would come back from front lines, wounded but alive to live out their days to ripe old age.   

    Then one day, I got the call that I may be called to the front and offered the chance to cut my risk (of going to front to fight the real enemy MBC) with adjuvant chemo/mastectomy.   Essentially I'm given tons of ammos that are 20+ years old and shoot lots of blanks and beat myself down to fight the long shadow of MBC.   These adjuvant therapies were developed as "stop-gap" solution 20+ years ago by my father's generation, and since then continuously improved, but it's still a stop-gap solution that has not bring us much closer to the cure for MBC.

    What I did not know is: the MBC soldiers on the front lines are using the same 20+ year old ammos plus some newer ammos that shoot even more blanks against a vastly more powerful enemy (compared to EBC).  They have survival odds worse than death row inmates, and without the MBC cure, they will never expect to get off the front-line till they die.    

    To top this absurd scenario, a significant portion of EBC folks will end up on the front lines to join the MBC contigent.    They are not much better equiped or enjoy better survival odds than MBC denovo.    The EBC folks thought they were not on the front-line, but the distinction is often artificial.   MBC cast a long shadow.

    All I'm trying to do, is to make sense of this reality.   To make sense of why 20 years did not bring us the progress that I expected.   To understand whether 20 more years going in the same direction in the conspiracy of silence will bring us the progress in curing MBC that we all want.   The public deserve a rational and open discussion of the allocation of the research and clinical trial funds in curing MBC and preventing MBC.    

    My guesstimate for return/cost ratio for preventing MBC (small) vs curing MBC (big) should be refuted or refined or confirmed by people with better data.   I'm not here to upset people or be upset myself.  I'm here to understand and learn and explain reality the best I could.   Beesie, I appreciate your enlightenment.

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