I say yes, you say no, OR People are Strange
Comments
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Lewing: Maybe you should fill your daughter in with the rest of the story about that battle. My DP seems to know more about it than I do (he is older that I am, or course!) and says even God was on "our" side because a hurricane hit and that's what kept the White House from being burned to the ground. To think, we have been running away all these years from hurricanes and one actually saved our White House.
Don't forget that in 1815 they beat the Hell out of the British, killed Packenham and about 5000 British soldiers by only 100 Americans at Chalmette, La. So even tho the song makes fun of us and I can take a joke, our kids should know that there is more to this than what is in that song and we Americans have won our share of battles.
Go America!
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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2011/02/11/mubarak-red-sea-egypt_n_821812.html
Mubarak flees to the Red Sea. Passes power onto Vice President!
CAIRO - A local government official says President Hosni Mubarak is in the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh, 250 miles from the capital Cairo, where protesters are deluging squares and marching on presidential palaces and the State TV building.
(SCROLL DOWN FOR LATEST UPDATES)
The official, who asked not to be identified because of the sensitivity of the issue, said Friday that Mubarak arrived at the airport in Sharm and was greeted by the local governor. Mubarak passed most of his powers to Vice President Omar Suleiman Thursday night, rebuffing the demands of hundreds of thousands of demonstrators that he step down immediately.
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That Arrogant Worms song is a reply to the 1959 song by Johnny Horton that revised a bit of the history of the War of 1812. Here it is : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsRK3DNoa_Q
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Bren, he has stepped down. The army will run the country until the elections.
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I'm running a live stream from Tahrir Square right now. It's awesome. I'm so inspired by the courage and resolve of the Egyptian people.
L
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It would be remarkable to be present in the demonstrations in Egypt just now!
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I'm watching CNN.
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Lassie, how funny that an American would post the Canadian song and a Canadian would post the American version!
It's fun to listen to them back-to-back.
L
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http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/africa/02/11/egypt.protests/index.html?hpt=T1&iref=BN1
I'm watching it stream live on CNN just now too.
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I'm always skeptical of when dictators are deposed or die in countries with no long tradition of democracy. Remember Tito in Yugoslavia and what happened after he died? And even Saddan's departure did not lead to peace in Iraq for a long time. I feel nervous for the Egyptian people now. Mubarak's stepping down does not, by itself, portend a better future, no matter what the silly, naive cable pundits say.
When you live in other countries, you realize how naive Americans are who think that everyone everywhere in the world has a burning desire for democracy in their hearts and that the only reason why they depose authoritarian or totalitarian regimes is to give power to the people. We may not like the answer, but it is : No!
Democracy in Egypt would be nice, but it will only work if corruption is kept in check and a real effort is made to provide more opportunities for young people. Otherwise, elected government will mean nothing (and, BTW, Mubarak himself was "elected" in every cycle - with over 90 percent of votes, of course - lol).
Oh, and if I hear any idiot pundit saying how the uprising was thanks to "hip" people using Facebook and Twitter I will scream. Most people in Egypt don't have access to computers, for one! And the protesters are a very diverse group.
Those Washington narrow-minded power players really need to travel more.
Barbara, so glad things are improved with your brother!
Wish I had more time to be here...
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I'm watching and in tears.
lewing, love your post. This may explain some of my Canadian embracing tendencies - one of my husband's kind of famous ancestors fought in the War of 1812 - ta da, drumroll please....he was in the British Indian Department.
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Iraq has peace? When did that happen? Saddam's "departure"? We invaded his country, bombed the hell out of the infrastructure, captured him, and had him executed. I believe that's called a hostile take-over.
The situation in Egypt is a little different.
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Revkat - your questions are exactly on point. But people think "we got rid of a dictator, so things must be good" and as we know that is far from the truth.
But what happened in Iraq is nothing compared with what happened in the former Yugoslavia...
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That's true, Athena, but Yugoslavia was a forced union of disparate ethnic groups, while there is a great national identity among Egyptians. I agree that it is a time of wait and see, and having military rule now, doesn't mean that things will continue to evolve toward democracy. Still, there is hope and a peaceful revolution is always something to celebrate. I do think that the international community will put a lot of pressure on the military to move toward open and fair elections.
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Did I not get the memo? I'm detecting some solidarity here, among BCO members' avatars...
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It is hard to compared forms of unity. Egyptians are ethnically united, so the comparison only goes so far, but the point is, many in this country automatically assume that the demise of a dictator somehow automatically presages democracy. This is NO American Revolution.
What is incredible is how far US influence in the region has dwindled - for better and for worse. We lost a lot of the credibility we had in ther Arab world (to whatever extent it existed) when we invaded Iraq.
This is only the very beginning of a long series of events that are perforating the whole region, so I say it is way too early to celebrate. Lebanon, a putative democracy, has been racked by violence and nefarious outside forces. Things may go very well in Egypt, but, alas, that is only part of the puzzle.
I will do my best to stay away from US cable media, for now, and stick with more credible sources. I say Le Monde, the NYT and Al Jazeera together, giving different views, could probably make one come out with a more rounded perspective. I know I am going to be flamed for proposing FOREIGN and NON-FOX news sources....
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Arab-Islamic Middle East and Democracy are Totally Incompatible
For all of the following reasons: Political, social, cultural, and regime-performance, Arab-Islamic Middle East and democracy are totally incompatible. It took Europe 500 years to become liberal and democratic, and it will take much longer for the Middle East. Democracy will not bring peace, and peace will not enhance democracy.
There are three kinds of distinctive political regimes: The totalitarian; the authoritarian; and democracy. Although there are many kinds of democracy, it is distinctively different from authoritarian and totalitarian. Democracy is characterized by the following dimensions: a) Individual freedoms and civil liberties; b) The rule of the law is above all; c) Sovereignty and citizenship empowered by the people; d) The absolute equality of all citizens before the law; e) Vertical and horizontal accountability of ruling system; f) Responsiveness, eligibility, and transparency of ruling systems; g) Mobility, political participation, and equality of opportunity.
Democratization is Still Far Away
The Middle East is comprised of only authoritarian regimes and patrimonial leaderships, as military regimes and as monarchies. None of the states is a real democracy, and none of them have the above-mentioned ingredients of democracy. The existence of parliaments, political parties, and elections is not important, since they do not share the whole political process and do not participate, or even influence the decision-making process. Democratization of the Middle East is a long process and still far away. What one can find are civilianizational processes in some military regimes, but even these are not leading to democratization. There is no political liberalism and not even economic liberalism.
Islam is Against Democracy
All Arab states are Muslim, except of Israel, and the first article in their constitution declares that the religion of the state is Islam. Lebanon is an exception, although Lebanon does not have the ingredients and components of a state, and will soon become Shiite under Iranian rule.
Islam is against democracy. Islam stresses authoritarianism, submission, patrimonial rule and lack of freedoms. Muslim scholars and Western Islamists claim that Islam and democracy are compatible; that Islamic values are the real source of democratic perceptions; and that the values and practice of Islam is the origin of human freedoms and the best proof of Allah's greatness. But this is a pure propagation, a Da`wah delivered for the Western public opinion's consumption. In fact, Islam and democracy are totally incompatible, and Islam clearly leads to the ruin of all values that we so dearly respect and cherish.
The US Should Devote its Energies to Pursuing its Real Interests
The reality is that Arab-Islamic history as much as contemporary, clearly show that in the Middle East there is anything but democratic liberal processes. There are no sovereign states led by an electorate and certainly no civic societies. There is no concept of citizen's rights or freedoms and social miserability and economic wretchedness dominates the whole way of life. Leadership has always been the prerogative of the ruling elite, religious and military, who are coercive and subduing.
The West cannot and should not enhance and hasten democracy in the Middle East. The balance sheet is really a tragedy: In Iraq (where anarchy and chaos are the real mark); in Lebanon (where Hezbollah takes the lead to transform Lebanon to a Shiite state); in the Palestinian Authority (where Hamas took control in Gaza and lead the Palestinians, bringing Abu Mazen to obscurity and obsoleteness); And in Pakistan (where Bhutto was murdered and the Mujahiddin are on the offensive and are about to take hold of this nuclear state).
In the Middle East democracy is not at the corner, and the US should devote its energies to pursuing and keeping its real interests.
Read more: Can Democracy Thrive in the Middle East? | Answerbag Debates http://www.answerbag.com/debates/democracy-thrive-middle-east_1855469#ixzz1DKI1qe4EThey're tribal!
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I've got Al Jazeera running in the background. Yeah, BBC, NYT, Al Jazerra, it's good to have a wide variety of sources. Oh, and The Guardian for Robert Fisk, who probably knows more about the Middle East than any other English speaking journalist. Totally agree that we have no idea where this will go, but then that is always true. I'm just happy for the people who feel empowered and free tonight, no matter what tomorrow brings.
This is no American Revolution. It was peaceful. It was a general uprising of people who were tired of having their human rights trampled on and were tired of their rulers profiting while they struggled to eat, rather than businessmen who didn't like the tax situation. Democracy is an ideal and it emerges and takes shape in a variety of different ways.
Otter, you've been deleted by the community for no good reason, right? You're welcome to use the avatar. Although we would so miss your furry little one!
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But ... but ... but ... George Bush and the Republicans said we needed to invade Iraq to install democracy. And that all the other states in the region would then follow their example. Have the Republicans changed their minds about that? Or just acknowledged that it was all a bunch of baloney to do what they wanted to do for other reasons?
Back to Wonderland for me.
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At the risk of further outting myself as a way-out radical, I keep thinking of the line in "The Battle of Algiers," where the older revolutionary leader comments that it's after the liberation struggle is won that the really hard part begins. So, Athena, your point is well taken. But you can't even start on the hard part until you've won your freedom . . . and surely a day or two of celebration is in order for that! There's hope and possibility that there wasn't a month ago.
L
(P.S. to Otter and anyone else who likes the avatar - feel free to use! It was "farewell Friday" in Egypt, maybe we can make this a deletion-free Friday at BCO.)
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Laura, I'll include but a couple of examples from the other side of the argument where you copied all of the "anti" arguments also from the site that you link, I'm sure you just forgot it:
"Other Religions Have Successfully Embraced Democracy
Islam, like all pre-modern religions, is undemocratic inspirit. No less than the others, however, it has the potential to evolve in a democratic direction. Throughout the ages, many religions have been called upon to modernize, and history demonstrates that such evolution often requires hundreds of years to achieve its goal. Islam's problem is less its being anti-modern than that its process of modernization that has hardly begun. In the Christian case, the battle to limit the Catholic Church's political role lasted painfully long. If the transition began when Marsiglio of Padua published Defensor pacis in the year 1324, it took another six centuries for the Church fully to reconcile itself to democracy. Why should Islam's transition be smoother or easier? However, moderate Muslims can draw inspiration from the Christian example—such a massive structural overhaul is, indeed, achievable.
....There Is a History of Democracy in the Middle East
Yes, democracy is possible in the Middle East. In fact, democracy has had few but important manifestations in the Middle East. Mohammed Mossadegh was a democratically elected leader in 1952 in Iran . Our CIA ousted him and installed a tyrant in Iran , i.e. the Shah. In the early 90s, Algeria elected a democratic government that was replaced by a military junta supported by France and given political blessings by our government."
Read more: Can Democracy Thrive in the Middle East? | Answerbag Debates http://www.answerbag.com/debates/democracy-thrive-middle-east_1855469#ixzz1DfolUxed
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I hope for the best but fear the worst. Islam extremist will take their time...meaning, Muslim Brotherhood. I wonder who organized this revolution. Do you think that people just rose up one day and made their way to Cairo by the thousands. You can either bury your head in the sand and say YES! for these people and cry because they are "free", or you can keep a close watch on the extremist and hope that they do not make it worse than what has happened.
US Intelligence Dir Says Muslim Brotherhood is Secular Hours After Member of MB Goal is Sharia Law
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rPgEvJtp2JI
Dianne Feinstein Warns Islamic Extremists Could Easily Take Over Egypt
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FFZzc5OY0pg
MSNBC's Mitchell is Warned by Ex Muslim Brotherhood Member The Brotherhood Wants Sharia
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Years and years and years ago, when I was a young International Relations student focused on the Middle East and North Africa---its history and governments-- I viewed the Sadat assassination and what came after. Never did I dream that Mubarak would still be in power or that the state of emergency declared on that day would still be going strong some 30 years later. what an interesting thing to watch! I think the key to what happens with Egypt will lie in what comes next and whether the Army conducts the elections as scheduled and what percentage of the vote the Muslim brotherhood gets. Lebanon is not really a good comparasion to anything---it is so diverse that it is difficult to get a concensus [and note for the record that some of the most difficult players in Lebanon have always been the Christians. Look up Sabra and Shatila if you doubt me.]
Back to my very favorite subject, history, back in the days of the Caliphate, the Islamic leaders in Spain were far more democratic than the Europeans who followed. It was, after all, the European/Spanish who launched that delightful Inquisition that caused formerly Jewish converts to Catholicism to go through the streets publically eatting pork in vain effort to persuade neighbors they were good Catholics. It was in the Islamic portion of the world that Muslims, Christians and Jews all lived together in peace while in the more "civilized" Europe, Jews were relegated to the Judenstrasse with doors that locked at night.
In my humble opinion and based on some limited study, the Taliban, Al Q and the like is an anomally to Islam just as I like to think certain radical Christian groups are an anomally to Christianity.
Do you think its possible that my youngest is a sleeper Canadian? Or did he catch the Canadian virus? He adores hockey and ever since our trip to Vancouver last summer, swears when he grows up he will be Canadian and live in BC. . . .
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I have been deleted before so thanks for the use of the avatar!
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You're too funny! Ha! HA!
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Christians driven out of Lebanon? Hmmmm, then how could this happen? Christians comprise about 40 % of the population, and they're going to be celebrating this Islamic/Christian day quite soon.
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Shirley: My head is "never" in the sand! First of all, I have always wondered why the US thinks our type of government is so perfect that everyone else needs to be like "us"! This revolution has come to an end too quickly and I think something is going on behind the scenes that we don't and are not meant to know about. Maybe certain ones of the people want a "type" of democracy which will give them more rights in their government but something is very wrong here. I would love to hear what the Egyptian people are really thinking about this sudden action by their "former" President. I think the Islamic Extremists are waiting and biding their time to pounce! People like this can be very patient when it comes to getting what they want. I want to feel happy about this resolution but in the pit of my stomach I can't be. I do hope I am wrong about my feelings and it will have a good and peaceful ending. Time will tell.
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Well, apparently they fear the Americans coming in and taking over. So it goes both ways. Fear is usually a result of misinformation or misunderstanding. But not always.
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Barbara ... welcome to Friday's deleted 't-shirt' day!
Hope your brother is improving .. you've been on my mind.
Bren
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Thanks, Bren. They tried again to wean him but no dice. I am on my way to see him in a few. Other than the respirator, he is doing great.
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