How Do You Handle the Statistics?

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Suze35
Suze35 Member Posts: 1,045

I've been struggling the past few days - since my port placement - to stay in my positive "I can beat this" mode.  But then I saw a statistic (here no less) that said node positive women recur 30-60% of the time depending on blah blah blah...it really hit me hard. 

I'm 41, have three kids (9, 6, 3) and am obviously scared to death.  I have at least 4 positive nodes, but will never know about more because I am doing neo-adjuvant therapy.  I am trying to tell myself that 4 is it, but they are pretty overtaken with cancer, so I try not to think about it.

I know that in reality, more women do survive than not, but that doesn't make the numbers look any better.

Any advice or positive words would be so welcome...

Comments

  • lago
    lago Member Posts: 17,186
    edited October 2010

    You statistically have a 70%-40% chance of no recurrance. That's a lot of women. Why can't one of those women be you?

    If you respond to treatment then those positive nodes mean nothing. There are plenty of negative node women that recur. None of us really know who will and who won't. Stats are just who they have been counting. Just because a cancer cell gets loose doesn't mean it will grow. Your body might say "Hey this is a cancer cell but I'm the liver. This doesn't belong here." and then it gets flushed out of your system.

  • janicemarie3
    janicemarie3 Member Posts: 124
    edited August 2013

    i know I don't have the same stage or diagnosis as you do but I did relate to the three kids.My kids are 9 6 and 2.  I see that you were diagnosed only a month ago.  I was diagnosed in january 2010 and telling my children was one of the hardest things that I had to do.  But it does get a little easier, once you get over the shock of everything.    I am so sorry that you have to go through this.  I joined a support group in my community that meets once a month.  I found this helpful because there are some things that you can not talk with you family and friends about because it is hard for them to understand what you are going through.  You have found a wonderful place to come and talk with people who have your same fears and concerns.  Hang in there it will get better.  You and your family are in my thoughts and prayers.

  • angelsaboveus
    angelsaboveus Member Posts: 298
    edited October 2010

    Hi Suze,

    I have a very similar  diagnosis....1.5 cm IDC , stage ll , grade 3, Triple negative, 5 positive nodes and just found out BRCA 1 positive, so possibly will do some preventative surgery.

    The good news is I am now 2 years out from finishing treatment , all follow up appts and mamos have come back clear. Chemo works well on triple neg cancer they say , so that is a plus for us. 

    Worrying is normal when you get the dx. and some days will be hard. Just feel confident you are doing all you can and the chemo will kick the cancers butt...then hopefully you can find your new normal and live a long wonderful life with your family and 3 kids.

    Good luck with your tx

  • BrandyB
    BrandyB Member Posts: 195
    edited October 2010

    You are doing the right thing by choosing neo-adjuvant therapy.  This way it will be clear how well the chemo treated the cancer.  Chemo kicked my TNBC's butt!!!!  I had 2 positive nodes, but since the chemo completely destoryed the cancer and I had no evidence of disease at surgery, I have over a 95% chance of never having the cancer recurr!!  This can be you too!!! 

     I think of statistics this way (I'm an engineer and have plenty of experience massaging numbers) statistics are just a tool to tell the medical community if they are moving in a positive direction as far as cure rate.  The numbers are based on a huge number of OLD cases.  Meaning that those numbers were based on people treated with out of date drugs, protocols, etc.  You are not a statistic.  These numbers are not meant to be used on individuals.  Look at it this way, I have no family history of disease, I'm young(36) so my odds of getting breast cancer were very slim- yet I still got it- I won the lottery of breast cancer-I beat those odds damn it and ended up with bc anyway.  So, why can't the flip side happen.  Why can't I win that lottery again and be cured.  The answer is I can and I was.  You can be a survivor just like me.  Why the hell not?  There's no reason to worry about the stinking numbers.  I'm telling you THEY MEAN NOTHING TO YOU!! NOTHING!! They are used to track trends, that is all!!!  And I repeat the data is based on out of date practices, and they include everyone.  They include people who weren't proactive about their care, they include people who live in rural and poor areas and don't neccessarily have access to the best medical care.  THey include old people, people with pre-existing conditions like diabetes, heart disease, pulmonary disease.  Those people ARE  NOT YOU.

    I know exactly the horror that you feel when you see these numbers.  I felt it myself.  I couldn't eat, couldn't sleep, couldn't face my children... But I'm OK now and the same thing can happen for you!!!!

    Praying for peace in your heart.

    Brandy

  • Suze35
    Suze35 Member Posts: 1,045
    edited October 2010

    Thank you all so much - and I know you are right - this is beatable.  I'm not a typically optimistic person, but I also know I have to find a way to handle my stress so as to not tax my body as much.

    Janice, thank you for the reminder to go to a support group.  I think I need that.  And my thoughts are with you - our kids are so close in age, I am so sorry you have to go through this.

    Brandy - you have put into words something I desperately needed to hear - THANK YOU. The tumor I can feel has already responded to the chemo a bit after one treatment and I am hopeful for a complete response as you had.  I am trying not to hope TOO much however, because I don't want to be crushed if it doesn't happen.  But you're right about the studies - I am going to print out your post and read it every time I'm feeling down :-).

    Lago - it sounds better when you flip those numbers around!  This stupid port placement has really hit me - time to hit back I think...

    Again, thank you all for responding.  It helps so much to have a community that truly understands the ups, downs, fears, terror, anger, everything. 

  • LJ13-2
    LJ13-2 Member Posts: 235
    edited October 2010

    Here's how I handle statistics: I ignore them.

    There are only 2 statistics, as I see it. If you recur, the chance is 100%. If you do not, the chance is 0%. No one recurs 20%, 40%, or 70%. It's all or nothing.

    With that said, I simply focused (and continue to focus) on doing everything possible to be 0% every day. I eat healthy, I exercise, I don't drink, I try to keep stress in check, I try to get enough sleep, I keep my weight normal.

    I am the kind of person who would obsess over numbers if I knew them. I have never asked my onc for my "chances." Once, he slipped and mentioned that I have a whatever chance of a new primary bc in my lifetime. It bugged me and I told him again not to mention numbers to me.

    There's just no good in them, unless you are able to see the Pollyanna side of them.

    My advice: don't look up numbers, don't ask for them. Just do your treatments and control the things in your life that you can, to make sure you stay in the 0% bracket.

  • Luah
    Luah Member Posts: 1,541
    edited October 2010

    BrandyB is right -- the statistics are based on studies that sometimes date 10 or more years back -- there have been so many advances in drugs.  Better to look at the trends over time, which show survival rates improving.

  • Claire_in_Seattle
    Claire_in_Seattle Member Posts: 4,570
    edited October 2010

    I am also IIb.  The moment I knew that I wasn't in immediate danger, I decided to assume I would be just fine.

    Remember that just completing treatment increases your odds over the overall stats as a lot of women aren't able to physically endure a complete course.  To me, it was really noticeable when I looked at the stats of women in similar studies to the one I am in vs the general population of breast cancer patients.

    (And for ER+ women, there is a huge drop out rate from hormonal therapy due to side effects so they never get the benefits of that therapy.)

    If you are very strong and healthy, you might want to ask about the SWOG-0221 study where you would get an advanced third generation treatment.  It's brutal, but it does have a proven survival benefit. (Or at least the studies it was based on do.)

    Anyway, good luck with everything.  I think the most encouraging thing to read is the ASCO news from MD Anderson.  Our group of high risk women has experienced amazing advances in treatment outcomes over the past 70 years with the odds of living flip-flopping from being almost certainly doomed, to a very high probability of being just fine.  I expect this to continue.

    One more thing: stats are based on the best treatment options available 10-15 years ago.  I am assuming that outcomes are much better now.

    These are the things I tell myself.

    Three final things to load the deck in your favor:

    1. Exercise....at least three hours of walking per week
    2. Weight management.....keep a sensible BMI
    3. Aspirin....another demonstrated benefit (though not sure of ER-)

    Each of these independently has been shown to be associated by a 50% reduced risk of recurrence.

  • Leah_S
    Leah_S Member Posts: 8,458
    edited October 2010

    So here's me and statistics:

    Mammos miss about 10% of tumors. Mine was missed on mammo.

    About 5% of BC is painful. Mine was painful.

    Approximately 10-15% of surgeries end up with an infection bad enough that a person is hospitalized for more than 2-3 days. I had an infection that put me in the hospital for 8 days.

    I saw a survey on the quadranrts of the breast and the statistics of location of a bc tumor in the breast. The least likely (6%) was the lower inner quadrant. You guessed it - my tumor was in the lower inner quadrant.

    So, when I was told that after surgery, chemo, and rads my chance for mets was 20% I wasn't surprised when I found out about the mets. And I have decided that, since the statistical chance of my being surviving for 10 years (despite, as everyone says, being out-of-date) is about 22% I will end up being in that 22%.

    How do I feel about statistics now?  Truth be told, they really are irrelevant.

    I wish you the best, and hope your treatment is successful.

    Leah

  • cweed
    cweed Member Posts: 2
    edited October 2010

    Suze35:

    I too was 41 at diagnosis, triple negative, stage IIb.  I had three tumors that when aggregated totaled 6cm.  I too looked at the stats and spiraled downward ... then I was able to put in the forefront of my mind that it didn't matter ... worrying would do no good and if I were to recur, I'd worry about it then.  No use going through it (the "what ifs" of a recurrence) mentally for "practice."  I focused on treatment, living in the moment and enjoying life.  It was kind of freeing when I could keep my mind there.  I exercised, watched what I ate, got plenty of sleep and prayed.  No idea if it helped keep the cancer at bay, but it kept my mind-games turned off.

    This December it will be 5 years since diagnosis ... and I remain no evidence of disease.  I am blessed. 

    I don't come on the boards much anymore, because I'm fortunate that this disease is behind me now and quite frankly, it isn't on my mind a lot.  And, unfortunately, I think that's kind of normal so you don't see as many long-term survivors telling their stories here.  I'm going to try to change that (for me personally) as I remember how important it was for me to hear stories of successful treatments and life on the other side of treatment for the majority of women who are diagnosed. 

     God bless you.  Take it one step at a time. 

  • Suze35
    Suze35 Member Posts: 1,045
    edited October 2010

    Leah - you have a great attitude, I bet you are right and you'll continue to stick in that 23% of 10+ years :-).  I've thought the same way you did - my chances of even getting BC were so low (not a smidge of any family CANCER history), I have no BRCA gene, and triple negative no less.  At some point, I have to be on the good side sooner or later, right?

    cweed - I have taken up meditation, and am trying to do what you suggest - for the moment, I am what I am.  There is no use putting myself through the mental hell of saying goodbye to my children, when it might not be until I'm 85 with heart failure.  So I am going to focus on what is going on now - until I'm told otherwise, I am treable, and my oncologist even likes to say curable.

    Thank you all again.  This is a great place.

  • Lowrider54
    Lowrider54 Member Posts: 2,721
    edited October 2010

    I ignore the statistics and they are misleading and designed to scare the crap of you (just my opinion).  It takes time to collect them, do the analysis and finally put them out so they are already a couple years old when they are released in print.  I find that speaking with real women, like on these boards and relying on my treatment team is much more mentally healthy than any statistic. 

    Here I am a year after my mets dx - doing well and with no expiration date on my foot.  If I paid attention to the statistics, I would have had my funeral planned already. 

    Oh, and it was 10 1/2 years for me before a recurrance from an inbetween stage II and III with node involvement doing 8 months of chemo, no rads and 2 1/2 years of Tamoxifin if that is of any help as a live person still surviving.

    Hugs and best wishes...LowRider

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