"High Risk" Mammaprint Luminal Bs- what was your 'score'?

13

Comments

  • tshire
    tshire Member Posts: 239
    edited March 2017

    Hi butterfly- I read it, what was the major takeaway you got? I was in the same boat with low clinical/high genomic risk.

    My takeaway was that the discordant groups had approximately the same level of risk, better than high/high but worse than low/low.

  • Butterfly1234
    Butterfly1234 Member Posts: 2,432
    edited March 2017

    Yup you got it. We all need to make the most informed decisions we can regarding surgery, treatment, etc. it's a highly personal choice. When I was first diagnosed I was a deer caught in the headlights and couldn't process all the information and decisions I had to make. Totally unlike my personality type. However, as an educator for many years I knew there was more to just one test score. So i decided to empower myself with information and try to gain some control. Your initial post prompted me to action. I had to find out how my low clinicals factored into the equation. What concerns me is that medical professionals involved in our treatment decisions need to be more informed on how to interpret these test results. To be fair I think the complexities of MammaPrint/Bluprint makes it more challenging. However, discordant group data needs to be analyzed very carefully before treatment decisions are made. I hope this discourse helps others to research their own specific pathology whatever choices they make. This forum has been a wealth of knowledge for me and I am so grateful.





  • tshire
    tshire Member Posts: 239
    edited March 2017

    I'm glad I could help with that! What decisions did you come to?

  • Butterfly1234
    Butterfly1234 Member Posts: 2,432
    edited March 2017

    Meeting with oncologist on Friday to review this testing data.

  • Lisey
    Lisey Member Posts: 1,053
    edited March 2017

    butterfly, did you get the oncotype as well?

  • Butterfly1234
    Butterfly1234 Member Posts: 2,432
    edited March 2017

    I didn't because my breast surgeon preferred the Mammaprint. She didn't like the intermediate range of Oncotype. Trying to compare those tests is like apples and oranges. So, there you go. Nothing about any of this is easy!

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited March 2017

    MammaPrint may have a "binary" output (High Risk vs Low Risk), but as a result of the design of the MINDACT trial and certain findings pertaining to "discordant" groups, I have wondered whether a view that the test is more black and white than Oncotype is still entirely accurate.

    BarredOwl

  • Butterfly1234
    Butterfly1234 Member Posts: 2,432
    edited March 2017

    I agree with you especially as it relates to the discordant group of low clinical and high genome risk.

    Also, where you "fall" on the high risk continuum should be factored in as part of the analysis and discussion.

    As it was explained to me, "We had to have a cut-off point."

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited March 2017

    Hi Butterfly1234:

    That is an interesting comment re "the high risk continuum", which was the original question in this thread. Please discuss it with your Medical Oncologist.

    As noted above and in your other thread, I am unaware of any published validation study in the adjuvant setting that has assessed or reported on differences in distant recurrence risk based on MammaPrint Index values falling within the same risk category. If you are were provided with a reference that demonstrates such differences, please share the link.

    I note that prognostic information derived from a biomarker test should not not be heavily based on the same data set used to develop the test or its clinical classifier, but should be based upon the performance of the test in an independent data set to the extent possible. See item (4) of the table below, taken from a 2016 ASCO biomarker guideline which included a discussion of the reliability of the evidence supporting such tests, and in which "[t]he panel followed the proposals made by Simon et al [9] for determining whether a biomarker test has clinical utility":

    ASCO Biomarker Guideline 2016:http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/JCO.2015.65.2289

    Note: This guideline was issued prior to publication of the MINDACT results, and may not reflect current clinical practice, particularly in node-negative, hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative invasive breast cancer.

    image

    In other words:

    Febbo (2011): "NCCN Task Force Report: Evaluating the Clinical Utility of Tumor Markers in Oncology"

    http://www.jnccn.org/content/9/Suppl_5/S-1.long

    "For larger datasets, identifying a priori a "discovery" or "training" subset of samples and a "validation" or "test" subset of samples is common practice. The assay's characteristics are tested and refined in the discovery subset and, when the assay parameters are fixed, applied to the validation subset. Although this minimizes bias and overfitting within the dataset, a concern remains that characteristics specific to the dataset being used may result in validation that does not generalize to other sample or patient populations. Thus, independent validation sets are required for the most rigorous clinical validation of an assay."

    Use of data from the "training" set (used to discover or establish the test) to prove the prognostic or predictive capabilities of a biomarker test is not very sound. Proper clinical validation is the basis for reasonable reliance in clinical decision-making, and ordinarily should be based on testing performance in an independent validation set, followed by a peer-reviewed scientific publication.

    In the absence of adequate clinical validation, such differences would be a reasoned hypothesis. It would also have been a reasoned hypothesis to expect a different, more definitive result for the Clin Low-Genomic (MP) High group in the MINDACT trial, but this is not what was observed.

    BarredOwl

    [Edit: Added last paragraph]

  • Butterfly1234
    Butterfly1234 Member Posts: 2,432
    edited April 2017

    Sorry I haven't replied sooner. To my knowledge Agendia has not done any validation study re: patients within the same risk category.

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited August 2017


    BarredOwl,


    Thank you for all your very useful information and links. I have read most of them, especially the NEMJ article on the MammaPrint. I am in the ''low clinical risk/high genomic risk'' category. From what I read in the NEMJ, if I understand it correctly, it says:


    "Among patients at low clinical risk and high genomic risk, those who underwent randomization on the basis of genomic risk (and therefore received chemotherapy) had a 5-year rate of survival without distant metastasis of 95.8% (95% CI, 92.9 to 97.6), as compared with a rate of 95.0% (95% CI, 91.8 to 97.0%) among those who underwent randomization on the basis of clinical risk (and therefore received no chemotherapy) (adjusted hazard ratio for distant metastasis or death with chemotherapy vs. no chemotherapy, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.59 to 2.28; P = 0.66) (Fig. 2B). This finding does not show any advantage of directing therapy on the basis of genomic risk among patients at low clinical risk but high genomic risk, since these patients had no benefit from the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. In addition, among patients in the discordant risk groups, there was no significant difference between the chemotherapy group and the no chemotherapy group with respect to disease-free survival (Fig. 2C and 2D) and overall survival (Fig. 2E and 2F). Sensitivity analyses in the perprotocol population are provided in Table 2. Data regarding intervals without distant metastasis are shown in Figure S6 in the Supplementary Appendix."


    In the final discussion, it also states, : "Some 50% of the study patients were defined as being at low clinical risk. In this group, we did not find any meaningful difference in the 5-year rate of survival without distant metastasis between patients at high genomic risk who received chemotherapy and those who did not receive chemotherapy. On the basis of these data, the results for the 70-gene signature do not provide evidence for making recommendations regarding chemotherapy for patients at low clinical risk. In clinical practice, genomic testing is best used in combination with clinical–pathological factors, since the gene signature has an added and independent prognostic value."

    So am I correct in concluding that in my situation, chemo would not be helpful? I am low clinical risk. ER+, HER2-, tumor under 2CM, Negative nodes, bilateral mastectomy, June 2017. Also negative on all the genes tested in the Myriad 'MY RISK' genetic testing. My oncotype result was 21. (Very low in the intermediate category). Based on my oncotype results and my low clinical risk, my medical oncologist had originally recommended only Aromitase inhibitor. (I am post menopausal). However, after receiving the results of the MammaPrint, showing "high risk", and Luminal B, he is now recommending chemo. Going for 2nd opinion next week. Any opinions or feedback would be greatly appreciated.

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited August 2017

    Hi LuvToCraft:

    I think a second opinion is a good idea.

    I did not receive this test, and so I have never received related medical advice. I am a layperson with no medical training. Below are my layperson impressions. Please confirm all information with your medical oncologist.

    Re your question: "So am I correct in concluding that in my situation, chemo would not be helpful?" Keep in mind that these findings reflect comparisons between groups of patients and statistical averages based on groups of patients (with confidence intervals "CI" in which the value is likely to fall). They provide odds, but do not speak whether a specific individual will or will not benefit from chemotherapy or to individual outcomes (who will suffer distant metastasis).

    Regarding the first paragraph you quoted (re patients at low clinical risk and high genomic risk, who underwent randomization either on the basis of their genomic risk (and therefore received chemotherapy) or on the basis of their clinical risk (and therefore received no chemotherapy)), they reported that the difference in 5-year rate of survival without distant metastasis between the two groups (each taken as a whole) was NOT statistically significant (P = 0.66; where a P value less than 0.05 would be considered statistically significant). There are some caveats to this finding. This aspect of the study was not a primary endpoint. It was a secondary analysis, and the accompanying Hudis and Dickler Perspective notes: "Similarly underpowered was an analysis that showed no advantage of directing therapy on the basis of genomic risk among patients at low clinical risk." My crude layperson understanding of "underpowered" is that there were not enough patients included to achieve a statistically significant result for this particular secondary assessment. Note that according to Cardoso, the "low clinical risk and high genomic risk [group] . . . included 592 patients (8.8%)" (calculated on the basis of the corrected risk). I believe it is formally possible that had more patients been included, one might have been able to observe a statistically significant difference (maybe or maybe not). While no statistically significant benefit was observed, as structured, the trial could not entirely exclude the possibility of a potential benefit, because it was underpowered.

    Also, I believe that this comparison "[a]mong patients at low clinical risk and high genomic risk" included patients with relatively diverse disease features. For example, if you look at Table S13 in the Supplementary Appendix, it looks like some "C-Low" patients would have had HER2-positive disease, and some "C-Low" patients would have had node-positive disease. With such a diverse group, it seems possible that there might be some (unidentified) subgroups of patients or individual patients who may benefit from chemotherapy.

    In a recent Guideline Update, ASCO addressed the MINDACT trial findings in connection with the question of clinical utility of the test (whether to order the test in the first place in certain clinical low risk patients per MINDACT criteria), stating (emphasis added):

    ASCO Guideline Update - Krop (2017): http://ascopubs.org/doi/pdf/10.1200/JCO.2017.74.0472

    [My Note: Guidelines address the general case, and there may be appropriate exceptions. Patients interested in this test should always seek case-specific medical advice from a medical oncologist as to whether the test may provide useful information in their particular case.]

    "Recommendation 1.1.2 (update of Recommendation 1.7). If a patient has ER/PgR–positive [estrogen receptor (ER) and/or progesterone receptor (PgR)–positive], HER2-negative, node-negative, breast cancer, the MammaPrint assay should not be used in those with low clinical risk per MINDACT categorization to inform decisions on withholding adjuvant systemic chemotherapy as women in the low clinical risk category had excellent outcomes and did not appear to benefit from chemotherapy even with a genomic high-risk cancer (Type: evidence based; Evidence quality: high; Strength of recommendation: strong).

    . . . Women with node-negative cancers and low clinical risk (as determined by using a modified version of Adjuvant! Online) had excellent outcomes regardless of genomic risk, and even those patients with high genomic risk did not appear to benefit from chemotherapy. Thus, in patients with node-negative cancers and low clinical risk, who will have an excellent outcome with endocrine therapy alone, MammaPrint does not provide significant clinical utility. Therefore, the MammaPrint assay should not be recommended to patients with low clinical risk who will receive endocrine therapy for hormone receptor–positive breast cancer."

    I think the rather vague "did not appear to" language reflects that this secondary assessment was underpowered to detect a difference.

    In the second paragraph you quoted, in light of the results, I wonder why they added: "In clinical practice, genomic testing is best used in combination with clinical–pathological factors, since the gene signature has an added and independent prognostic value." You may wish to ask your MO how that fits in with the immediately preceding remarks. Are they making the distinction between the predictive value of the test (re chemotherapy benefit) versus the prognostic value of the test (there is a greater risk of distant recurrence observed among those with a high genomic (MammaPrint) risk result as compared with those with a low genomic risk result)?

    Please be sure to confirm your "clinical risk" categorization in your second opinion, because (as you know) accurate clinical risk categorization is critical to application of the MINDACT findings. I believe that grade may also be used in the determination of clinicial risk category according to MINDACT trial criteria. Also, do not hesitate to discuss any pertinent findings from MINDACT and the ASCO Guideline Update in your second opinion to confirm your understanding, applicability in your specific case, and to ensure that you receive an expert explanation, with any associated caveats and limitations. If chemotherapy is recommended to you, ask for a list of the factors that weigh in favor of the recommendation (e.g., prognostic information from test results; clinical factors; and/or specific pathologic factors, such as percent PR, etcetera). You may also wish to ask about the availability of any studies conducted in those who received both Oncotype and MammaPrint test, and whether there are any outcome data available at this time.

    Best,

    BarredOwl

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    Thank you BarredOwl. I went for 2nd opinion, and this oncologist also feels I should do chemo. They feel because of the Luminal B, that I would benefit from chemo, even though I am clinically low risk. (although the 2nd onco feels that my 1.9 cm tumor is another reason to do the chemo. And she added that the Luminal B may not respond as well as expected to the Arimidex. I have read all the articles, (referenced above), including NEJM, Journal of clinical oncology), and tons of other research, and they all point to not needing chemo. I am so confused because both oncos recommend chemo. My mammaprint score was in the high risk category, 0.090, (which was pretty close to the 0.0), but not sure that makes a difference. And I am clinically low risk, according to MINDACT study, and Adjuvant.

    If I don't do chemo, I don't want to kick myself down the road if I get distant metastasis (which is why the oncos recommended chemo), but I also do not want to put myself thru unnecessary chemo and toxicity. And the thought of hair loss when the chemo may not even be necessary, really sends me into a depression. They said they would give me a very "mild chemo", (if there is any such thing!) CMF is what I would get, every two weeks, 8 treatments total, with a booster shot the day after each treatment. They claim hair loss wouldn't be "that great", (compared to some other regiments), but there would still be thinning, and suggested the Penquin cold cap. Wish I knew more about CMF.

    And I really wish I knew what to do. I have two oncos recommending chemo, but my gut is telling me it may not be needed. I have done so much research, my head is spinning. I haven't slept in weeks. I don't know what to do :-(

  • Lisey
    Lisey Member Posts: 1,053
    edited September 2017

    Luv, as someone who had all the markings of Luminal B - and thus got the mammaprint after a intermediate oncotype score, I will say that had I come back high risk on mammaprint I would have done the chemo, absolutely, even though my MO said no to chemo from day 1. The mammaprint score cemented it for me and depending on that I'd have chemo or not. I was very close to zero as well, but on the low risk side. I actually called and spoke to mammaprints pathologist about the scale ranking and if that meant I had more risk than someone not as close to the zero. She said they test each tumor TWICE and validate their low/high risk scores, but that they can't use the placement on the grid as a tool. If you are in high risk, you're in high risk - no matter where you land. Same with low risk. I ended up not doing chemo due to my low risk outcome.

  • keepthefaith
    keepthefaith Member Posts: 2,156
    edited September 2017

    luvtocraft, I had a 21 onco-score also. I was offered the mammaprint, but didn't do it. My half-sister did CMF many years ago. She fared well through it all. She lost some hair, but it wasn't really noticeable. She is doing well 15 yrs later! It's a hard and personal decision. My MO left it up to me, but leaned towards chemo. I finally just followed my gut. Mentally, I needed to do all that I could, while I could, to keep from having a recurrence. Of course, we all know, there is still no guarantee, but it eased my mind. My hair loss was not near as "difficult" as I had imagined...surprised myself. If you start chemo and feel you cannot tolerate it, you don't have to continue. I am not advocating that, but ultimately, it is YOUR decision... I had my MO reduce my last dose, bc I was having a (minor) allergic reaction that I didn't like. I have no long term SE's as far as I know and I tolerated chemo very well. There is probably another thread that pertains to CMF. It looks like you are getting all of the information you can to make the right decision! Good luck with whatever you decide:).

  • tshire
    tshire Member Posts: 239
    edited September 2017

    Hi Luv, I had a very similar case to yours, except for the age difference. I ended up doing 4 rounds of Taxotere/Cytoxan and found it very tolerable. I cold capped and kept about 80% of my hair. It's a hard decision, especially for those of us who chemo would only help 1-2 percentage points. But for how tolerable it was for those percentage points I still think doing chemo was worth it. I have no regrets.

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited September 2017

    Hi LuvToCraft:

    You have received some good perspectives above.

    I have no answers for you. The MINDACT publication is on point in noting: "Ultimately, the decision to receive or forgo chemotherapy (or any other treatment) lies with each patient who is properly informed about the potential side effects and the potential benefits of such treatment. For the same risk–benefit scenario, different patients may make different decisions."

    I did not face a similar decision, but I found it exhausting and challenging to consider the option of tamoxifen under my relatively unusual circumstances (isolated tumor cells on the DCIS side of unknown ER, PR or HER2 status) in which I was advised it would be equally reasonable for me to accept or decline it.

    Here are some additional observations. Please confirm all information with your team if it influences your thinking.

    I checked the Agendia website and see that they have revised the web site and some report content in light of the results of the MINDACT Trial. I noticed that the materials appear to treat Clinical High Risk / MammaPrint Low Risk (n = 1550 patients) and Clinical Low Risk / MammaPrint High Risk (n = 592 patients) somewhat differently. This likely reflects the quality and amount of the data for these groups. For example, the Clinical High Risk/ MammaPrint Low Risk group was the subject of the primary analysis, which met its objective, whereas the Clinical Low Risk/ MammaPrint High Risk group was not the subject of the primary analysis, and was a much smaller group of patients.

    For example, by my layperson reading, on this page, MINDACT results are featured for every group EXCEPT for the group considered "Clinical Low Risk" / "Genomic (MP) High Risk":

    Agendia Feature: Go to to www.agendia.com, and under the menu for "Health Care Professionals", click on "The MINDACT Trial" to access the feature entitled, "LEVEL 1A EVIDENCE. MAMMAPRINT® IS THE FIRST AND ONLY GENOMIC ASSAY TO ATTAIN LEVEL 1A CLINICAL UTILITY EVIDENCE FOR CHEMOTHERAPY BENEFIT IN EARLY-STAGE BREAST CANCER PATIENTS"

    The gist is that a low risk genomic result may lead to a recommendation to forego chemotherapy.

    ____________________________________________________________________________

    Did you receive a BluePrint test? BluePrint categorizes patients into three groups: Luminal-type; HER2-type; or Basal-type. The MammaPrint result is used to further subdivide the Luminal-type into two subgroups:

    - BluePrint Luminal-type and MammaPrint Low Risk ==> Luminal-type (A)-like

    - BluePrint Luminal-type and MammaPrint High Risk ==> Luminal-type (B)-like

    In addition to your MammaPrint Result (High risk) and BluePrint test result (Luminal-type), you should have received "Summary Pages" for High Risk Luminal-type (B). If you do not have a copy of such a document, be sure to request copies of all test results and related documentation for your review and records.

    Regarding potential chemotherapy benefit in light of MINDACT, please compare the Sample Summary Pages issued in the US for LOW RISK LUMINAL-TYPE (A) versus HIGH RISK LUMINAL-TYPE (B) regarding predicted benefit of treatment at 5-years based on Reference (2) (Cardoso):

    (a) Low Risk Luminal-Type (A) Summary Pages:

    http://www.agendia.com/media/June2017_LR-Luminal_A-Summary-Pages_FINAL.pdf

    Note this section of the above document:




    image

    (b) High Risk Luminal-Type (B) Summary Pages:

    http://www.agendia .com/media/June2017_HR-Luminal_B-Summary-Pages_FINAL.pdf

    Note this section based on data from the ER+/HER2-/LN0 subset from the MINDACT trial and the comment regarding a potential chemotherapy benefit:




    image

    The DMFI (distant-metastasis free interval) value of 94.6% illustrated above with Chemotherapy plus Hormonal Therapy seems to be taken from the Supplementary Appendix of Cardoso (See the last line of Table S 9: Outcome by genomic risk when following genomic treatment strategy (G-low versus G-high), in the subgroup of HR+/HER2-/LN0 patients). In Table S9, the chemotherapy appears to have been ACT. Please see Table S9 and the legend to Table S9 for a discussion of the analysis and the assumptions. With statistical averages based on a group as a whole, there may be subgroup(s) who might benefit more or less.

    Regarding clinical risk, the reference to "Clinical Low Risk" category per MINDACT criteria can be misleading in some ways. Multiparameter tests like Oncotype or MammaPrint are typically used to further inform decision-making in patients in whom chemotherapy is being considered because using standard clinical and pathologic criteria their distant recurrence risk would typically warrant consideration of or a recommendation for chemotherapy in addition to endocrine therapy.

    Regarding "clinical risk", please also note that that High Risk Luminal-Type (B) Summary Pages include a "double-cross" footnote which indicates that certain patients categorized as "Clinical Low Risk" per MINDACT criteria would be deemed high risk clinically under some consensus guidelines:

    image

    image

    The above observations may help explain in part the advice you received. Also, the advice received would not be based on the MammaPrint result alone, but a synthesis of all relevant information including those results in light of clinical and pathologic factors and Oncotype results as well.

    If you still have concerns or questions, do not hesitate to arrange further consultation(s) with your Medical Oncologist(s) to specifically discuss any outside information that is of concern to you. (I highlighted copies of research papers and took them to my appointments.) If in doubt and/or if you would like further input, you may wish to inquire whether there is a multidisciplinary "Tumor Board" at your current treatment centers that would consider your case. Optionally or in addition, if you have time before timely initiation of treatment (please confirm it with your team), you may wish to seek a third opinion, which some people pursue. Many look for an NCI-designated cancer center (confirm in-network):

    https://www.cancer.gov/research/nci-role/cancer-centers/find

    Although you may need to travel a bit, you can choose to seek treatment locally.

    Please take some time this weekend to give yourself a break and rest. I send my best wishes for information gathering and decision-making.

    BarredOwl

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited September 2017

    The above post is eating my Agendia links. Here are fresh links to MINDACT feature and the two sample Summary Pages linked above:

    Agendia Feature re MINDACT Trial:

    http://www.agendia.com/healthcare-professionals/the-mindact-trial/

    Sample Summary Pages for Low Risk Luminal-type (A):

    http://www.agendia.com/media/June2017_LR-Luminal_A-Summary-Pages_FINAL.pdf

    Sample Summary Pages for High Risk Luminal-type (B):

    http://www.agendia.com/media/June2017_HR-Luminal_B-Summary-Pages_FINAL.pdf

    BarredOwl

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    Barred Owl,

    I did receive a BluePrint score of Luminal B, (+0.57 from a scale of -1 to +1) which I believe, in addition to the Mammaprint .090 score, is what put me in High Risk on the assay. i tried attaching the picture of my actual results, but when I tried to post, it said "you are not allowed to post links at this time. I have no idea why it wouldnt allow me to post those images.

    << From your post - BluePrint Luminal-type and MammaPrint High Risk ==> Luminal-type (B)-like >>

    I understand what you are saying regarding the Low Clinical/High genomic risk that MINDACT hasn't really addressed. If you are low clinical/low geneomic, then no chemo. If you are high clinical/low genomic, also no chemo. And obviously high/clinical/high genomic would benefit from chemo simply based on the high clinical (now reinforced high genomic). This is why I am at such a gut-wrenching place in deciding whether to do the chemo, (CMF was recommended). If I had positive nodes, or a larger tumor, or other unfavorable aspects, then it would be a no brainer, I would do the chemo. But not being sure if any benefits would be derived from chemo, in my situation, I am at a loss. The only explanation given to me is that Luminal B, MAY be a little more aggressive. But from everything I know, and have read, chemo itself can be worse, can cause future cancers, can make cancer cells more resistant, can cause permanent cognitive issues, aside form all the side effects while going through treatment.

    My summary page(exactly as you have shown in your post) showed DFMI of 94.6 benefit with Chemo AND hormone therapy. One of the drawbacks in this study, is that they did not test to see what benefits would be obtained with hormone therapy alone. Even the doctor at Agendia with whom I spoke, said that was a major problem. I am on the Arimidex, and have no way of knowing if it will be enough to limit my risk of mets. According the my RS of 21 on oncotype Dx, no chemo was recommended (only hormone therapy), by ANY oncologist. I wish I could just 'UNSEE" the mammaprint results and just rely on the Oncotype!!!

    ** Can you please explain a little further, what you mean by what you wrote:

    << Regarding "clinical risk", please also note that that High Risk Luminal-Type (B) Summary Pages include a "double-cross" footnote which indicates that certain patients categorized as "Clinical Low Risk" per MINDACT criteria would be deemed high risk clinically under some consensus guidelines:

    C-low

    Comprehensive Consensus Guidelines may differ and categorize a patient with these clinical factors as high risk.

    The above observations may help explain in part the advice you received. Also, the advice received would not be based on the MammaPrint result alone, but a synthesis of all relevant information including those results in light of clinical and pathologic factors and Oncotype results as well. >>

    ** How do I find out if I fall into that category of being deemed clinically high risk?

    -----------------------

    As far as the oncotype, both oncos are now completely disregarding the Oncotype results, in favor of the MammaPrint, due to its results of high genomic risk. They are also discounting my positive prognostics of no lymph nodes, ER+, HER2-, tumor size 1.9cm, along with double mastectomy. I did show the oncologist all my printed material from the NEJM, and from Journal of clinical oncology, along with several other recommendations, as mentioned in my very first post:

    "Among patients at low clinical risk and high genomic risk, those who underwent randomization on the basis of genomic risk (and therefore received chemotherapy) had a 5-year rate of survival without distant metastasis of 95.8% (95% CI, 92.9 to 97.6), as compared with a rate of 95.0% (95% CI, 91.8 to 97.0%) among those who underwent randomization on the basis of clinical risk (and therefore received no chemotherapy) (adjusted hazard ratio for distant metastasis or death with chemotherapy vs. no chemotherapy, 1.17; 95% CI, 0.59 to 2.28; P = 0.66) (Fig. 2B). This finding does not show any advantage of directing therapy on the basis of genomic risk among patients at low clinical risk but high genomic risk, since these patients had no benefit from the use of adjuvant chemotherapy. In addition, among patients in the discordant risk groups, there was no significant difference between the chemotherapy group and the no chemotherapy group with respect to disease-free survival (Fig. 2C and 2D) and overall survival (Fig. 2E and 2F). Sensitivity analyses in the perprotocol population are provided in Table 2. Data regarding intervals without distant metastasis are shown in Figure S6 in the Supplementary Appendix."

    In the final discussion, it also states, : "Some 50% of the study patients were defined as being at low clinical risk. In this group, we did not find any meaningful difference in the 5-year rate of survival without distant metastasis between patients at high genomic risk who received chemotherapy and those who did not receive chemotherapy. On the basis of these data, the results for the 70-gene signature do not provide evidence for making recommendations regarding chemotherapy for patients at low clinical risk. In clinical practice, genomic testing is best used in combination with clinical–pathological factors, since the gene signature has an added and independent prognostic value."

    ----------------------------------------

    I am exploring other less toxic options to prevent recurrence such as vitamin C infusions, PolyMVA infusions, chelation therapy, intermittent fasting, etc. Not sure if that may be a better approach in my situation. I am not going to feel comfortable whichever way I go. If I DON'T do chemo, I will always worry if I will regret that decision if it comes back as metastasis, but if I DO the chemo, what long lasting toxic effects will it have caused for my body, when it may not have even been warranted in my situation. (Plus, as we all know, and my onco pointed out, even WITH chemo, metastasis can still occur). Like I said, I wish I knew the right answer. :-(

    On a side note, has anyone heard anything about the RGCC blood test out of Greece?




  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited September 2017

    Hi LuvToCraft:

    I do not think you mentioned tumor histology. Was it invasive ductal carcinoma ("IDC") or something else?

    Only you can decide what is right for you, in light of the medical advice you receive, including information about your distant recurrence risk after all other treatments, the potential benefit and risk of added chemotherapy, and your personal risk tolerance.

    Re: "I did receive a BluePrint score of Luminal B, (+0.57 from a scale of -1 to +1) which I believe, in addition to the Mammaprint .090 score, is what put me in High Risk on the assay."

    MammaPrint (70-gene test) and BluePrint (80-gene test) are separate tests. For a more detailed explanation, see this prior post or this short explanation:

    The MammaPrint test alone yielded the genomic "High Risk" result. Your MammaPrint test result should look like this sample MammaPrint High Risk report, with your value falling below zero (on the red side). Check for any "Additional Comments" in the field below.

    http://www.agendia.com/media/25Sep15_MP-High-Risk.pdf

    Please check your MammaPrint test result and confirm that the MammaPrint Index ("MPI") is a negative value: Minus (-) 0.090 and falls in the "High Risk" red zone below the clinical classification threshold of zero.

    BluePrint is a different test and is used to provide information about "molecular subtype" (i.e., Luminal, HER2-type, Basal). Your BluePrint test output would have been "Luminal" subtype. However, because your MammaPrint test result was "High Risk", the BluePrint "Luminal" result is further sub-categorized as being Luminal-type (B)-like.

    __________

    When I said, "The above observations may help explain in part the advice you received," I was referring to all of the information in my post, including the information in the Summary Pages re potential chemotherapy benefit. Despite the quote from Cardoso that you copied, the Agendia materials suggest a potential benefit among High Risk Luminal-type (B).

    Regarding the footnote, the only information I have is what is printed on the Summary Pages. I pointed it out as a possible area of further inquiry in view of the emphasis on your "Clinical Low Risk" categorization per MINDACT criteria in your thinking. Under NCCN guidelines for breast cancer (Version 2.2017), the addition of chemotherapy to endocrine therapy is an option for ductal, lobular, metaplastic or mixed histology, where the tumor is hormone receptor-positive, HER2-negative, node-negative and greater than 0.5 cm in size.

    Please note that I do not know if that footnote applies in your case or not, because you have not specified the tumor grade and I am not sure where you fall on the chart. As shown on the Summary Pages, among ER+, HER2-negative, node-negative patients with "Well differentiated (Grade 1)" tumors that are ≤ 3 cm, the Clinical Risk "C-low" does not have that footnote.

    You mentioned that one MO commented on the pathologic factor of tumor size (1.9 mm) as one factor weighing in favor of chemotherapy, so you may wish to ask that MO for more information about the footnote and tumor size. You can also ask for a complete listing of less favorable pathologic factors in your case (take notes). You have not mentioned grade in any of your posts, yet grade is one of the pathologic factors commonly considered in connection with chemotherapy decisions. The percent ER and percent PR (the percentage of cells that are positive) are other possible considerations. Lymphovascular invasion (if present) is another factor that may be considered.

    [Edited to add: You also mentioned bilateral mastectomy in connection with your risk profile; however, that is a local treatment and does not reduce your present risk of distant metastatic recurrence.]

    __________

    Re: "But not being sure if any benefits would be derived from chemo, in my situation, I am at a loss."

    The unknowns are very hard. Unfortunately, no individual patient ever knows if they personally will benefit from any treatment or may at some point suffer treatment failure. Even in situations where there is strong evidence of a clinical benefit, the benefit is never 100%. The statistical information is based on comparing rates or outcomes between groups of patients within a given time period, whereas an individual patient either suffers distant recurrence or does not. As such, statistical risk reduction information and estimates of potential benefit do not speak to individual outcome. However, the statistical information can provide information about odds and a means of weighing benefit against risks.

    The risks of severe adverse effects are also statistical in nature. While the incidence of severe adverse effects is quite low, they must be weighed against potential benefit. People can view the risks of treatment quite differently. Even in the same situation, some patients may have differing views on whether the potential benefits sufficiently outweigh the potential risks. Some patients (but not others) feel that they can live with the level of residual distant recurrence risk achieved with endocrine therapy alone.

    In connection with weighing the risks and benefits, if you have not received an estimate of the potential benefit of chemotherapy in your case, you may wish to ask if one can be provided (and how it is determined). If the size of the potential benefit is unclear, you may wish to ask your MO for their current best estimate of your 5-year or 10-year distant recurrence risk with an AI alone (and ask how it is determined). The potential benefit of added chemotherapy in reducing that distant recurrence risk is some fraction thereof and by definition less than that risk. How does it compare to the incidence of severe adverse events seen with CMF?

    BarredOwl

  • ShetlandPony
    ShetlandPony Member Posts: 4,924
    edited September 2017

    LuvToCraft, in one of your posts above you said, "I wish I knew more about CMF." I'm going to suggest that getting more detailed information from your doctors about chemo might help you with your decision. Find out the chances of each particular side effect and what could be done about it if it happened. Find out if you have any options for type of chemo, too. Talk about how your own personal health and family health history, and your lifestyle and activities, might play into the decision. Then instead of vague fears about chemo (understandable), you would have more information to be able to make a more educated decision.

    It's a great thing for you to have BarredOwl here discussing the tests. BarredOwl, you rock.

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    BarredOwl,

    My tumor was Invasive Lobular. Nowhere in the pathology report does it give a grade. I asked, and according to my onco, they are not able to assign a "grade" to lobular tumors? But I was stage 1A. (if that makes a difference). I am greater than 90% ER positive, but 0% PR. Negative nodes, 1.9 cm tumor.

    I understand what you are saying, that, due to my high risk MammaPrint, (minus 0.090), my BluePrint output of Luminal, automatically becomes Luminal B.

    And I will definitely ask my onco this again, according to your suggestion: << In connection with weighing the risks and benefits, if you have not received an estimate of the potential benefit of chemotherapy in your case, you may wish to ask if one can be provided (and how it is determined). If the size of the potential benefit is unclear, you may wish to ask your MO for their current best estimate of your 5-year or 10-year distant recurrence risk with an AI alone (and ask how it is determined). The potential benefit of added chemotherapy in reducing that distant recurrence risk is some fraction thereof and by definition less than that risk. How does it compare to the incidence of severe adverse events seen with CMF? >>

    But when I had mentioned it previously, they said they want to achieve that 94.6% DMFI (distant metastasis free in 5 years), which shows on the MammaPrint page 1, as the benefits with chemo AND hormone. Everyone who achieves a high risk MP score is 29% high risk without ANY treatment, (as per pg 1 of MP results), and everyone has that same 94.6% DMFI at 5 years with chemo and hormone. So I guess what it is saying that WITHOUT ANY TREATMENT, there is only a 71% chance of living without a distant metastasis, but adding chemo and hormone brings it to 94.6%. But nowhere has it been studied (by Agendia), to see results with just hormone, and over 10 year period, rather than five. I asked the MO what the risk would be with AI alone, and he said it is unclear. I am guessing perhaps somewhere between the 71% and 94.6%. Or I could be wrong, and it might be a greater benefit from the AI over 10 years. I remember at the beginning, when both MO were saying no chemo due to the Oncotype RS (21), and they both said Lobular responds very well to hormone therapy. But I will definitely ask again as per your suggestions above. (Although I guess the potential benefit with chemo would be that 94.6%?). I guess bottom line is I have to try and find out what my % recurrence risk would be with hormone alone, but none of them were able to say.

    On a side note, I tried attaching the picture of my actual results, but when I tried to post, it said "you are not allowed to post links at this time. I have no idea why it wouldn't allow me to post those images. Any idea?


  • Lisey
    Lisey Member Posts: 1,053
    edited September 2017

    Luv, because you are new. yOu have to post more to be allowed to post links and pics. :)

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    Thank you Lisey!

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited September 2017

    Hi LuvToCraft:

    According to Sledge (2016), while invasive lobular breast carcinoma (ILC) is the second most prominent histologic form of breast cancer, it accounts for around 10%–15% of invasive breast tumors. One might expect a similar representation of ILC in the various validation studies for Oncotype and for MammaPrint. ILC tends to give low or intermediate Oncotype Recurrence Scores.

    Re: "I guess bottom line is I have to try and find out what my % recurrence risk would be with hormone alone, but none of them were able to say."

    Perhaps if you ask for any type of estimate or range, with all associated caveats and limitations, they might take a shot at it. Can the prognostic information from the Oncotype report be used, or do they feel it is an underestimate?


    Re: "Everyone who achieves a high risk MP score is 29% high risk without ANY treatment, (as per pg 1 of MP results), and everyone has that same 94.6% DMFI at 5 years with chemo and hormone.

    These two points are made in the Summary Pages:

    image


    image


    These values were measured in different studies (one from a study predating MINDACT and one from a subset of MINDACT patients) in different patient populations and cannot be directly compared.

    The 29% is a "10-year risk of Recurrence [if] Untreated." The term "Recurrence" is vague. Is it a distant recurrence estimate or any recurrence (loco-regional and/or distant)? Unfortunately, I could not find the data points (22% at 5 years; 29% at 10 years) in the cited reference (Reference (1), Buyse et al.). Perhaps Agendia has more information about this.

    Not everyone has the same 94.6% DMFI at 5 years with chemotherapy ("CT") plus endocrine therapy ("ET"). The illustration shows that the 94.6% number was obtained from a group of patients who were all "ER positive, HER2 negative, Lymph Node negative patients (ER+/HER2-/LM0) from the MINDACT Trial."


    Re: "Although I guess the potential benefit with chemo would be that 94.6%?"

    That is a relatively nice statistic (good outcomes can be achieved in this group with ET + CT), but as you noted, it reflects the combined effect of ET + CT. Be careful not to confuse the observed percent DMFI (a single data point) with the potential benefit of chemotherapy, which would be determined (for example), from the difference between distant recurrence risk with ET alone versus risk with ET + CT. The benefit represents the amount of risk reduction attributable to CT.

    I am sorry that I cannot be more helpful. While I have a basic grasp of the mechanics of the tests, the clinical research publications are hard for me to understand. I do not know how the various results are interpreted by experts and applied in practice, so I cannot provide you with any real guidance other than to suggest questions or areas of inquiry.

    Given the less common diagnosis of ILC and your unanswered questions and concerns, if you have time and if feasible (in-network, etc.), you may wish to consider seeking a third opinion from an NCI-designated cancer center (see link in my prior post). If you choose to pursue a further opinion, then as part of the process, you may also wish to request an independent pathology review (actual slides sent overnight).

    BarredOwl

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    BarredOwl:

    Re: << Perhaps if you ask for any type of estimate or range, with all associated caveats and limitations, they might take a shot at it. Can the prognostic information from the Oncotype report be used, or do they feel it is an underestimate? >>

    They dont feel its an underestimate, because they were all in favor of using it originally, but now that they have the MammaPrint results, which came after, they seem to just want to disregard the oncotype.

    << Not everyone has the same 94.6% DMFI at 5 years with chemotherapy ("CT") plus endocrine therapy ("ET"). The illustration shows that the 94.6% number was obtained from a group of patients who were all "ER positive, HER2 negative, Lymph Node negative patients (ER+/HER2-/LM0) from the MINDACT Trial." >>

    Yes, that's what I meant, Everyone who had the same prognostic features. Thank you for mentioning that.

    I just noticed on my MammaPrint summary page, that it did have 2 dots on the graph for MY individual score of (minus) -.090. These correlated to a 5 yr risk of recurrence of approx 18%, and a ten year of approx 23%. So I guess what I can gather from this info is that the AVERAGE recurrence risk of 29% that is given for high risk, is for everyone within that (minus) -1.0 to 0.0 bracket. So since mine is -.090, the risk is somewhat lower, (not by much, but slightly), than someone e.g, in your above picture, with a .350 score, or even someone with a closer to 0.0 score. Thus the average 29% which they give. So my untreated risk in 5 years without ANY treatment would be approx 18%, and perhaps with hormone therapy can be half of that? I would opt out of chemo with those figures. And a side note is that I had read somewhere that the benefits of chemo only kick in for the first 5 years, (as per the blue bottom graph showing 94.6%, and then from 5 to 10 yrs, your risks are the same whether you had chemo or not?


    image

    image

    ** Have you heard anything about the Prosigna/PAM50 (NanoString Technologies Inc.) I am going to ask my MO if he can request that test. It would definitely help me in my decision. I now have the oncotype showing no chemo needed, the MammaPrint showing a benefit with chemo, so this would be a definite deciding factor.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4603628/

    Identifying patients at high risk of breast cancer recurrence: strategies to improve patient outcomes

    << Although there was a suggestion of benefit for chemotherapy added to endocrine therapy in high-risk patients, the level of evidence does not meet the threshold for determining clinical utility.>> (mammaprint)

    Key differences between genomic assays

    A high rate of discordance has been observed between the MammaPrint and Oncotype DX assays. The results of a small, single-institution study conducted in France on patients who had both the MammaPrint assay and Oncotype assay showed that of patients in the MammaPrint high-risk group, ten of the 22 (45%) had a low RS, (Oncotype Recurrence Score) indicating minimal benefit from chemotherapy and only one of the 22 (5%) had a high RS. This discordance in risk assessment was reproduced in another study by Shivers et al, which directly compared MammaPrint, Oncotype DX, and Mammostrat. In this study, 33.3% of MammaPrint high-risk patients were classified as low risk by Oncotype DX and conversely 5.6% of low-risk MammaPrint patients were classified as high-risk RS.

    A direct comparison of PAM50 and Oncotype DX showed concordance for high RS and luminal B (high risk), as well as luminal A and low RS. However, more patients in the intermediate RS group were reclassified by PAM50 as low risk, suggesting that PAM50 may augment prognostic information provided by Onctoype DX alone.53

    Although each of these assays can reliably predict risk of recurrence, only the Oncotype DX has been validated at this point to predict the benefit of chemotherapy. Clinicians should use caution and consider the limitations of these tests when considering which assay to use in decision-making about treatment.

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16720680/

    A total of 651 patients were assessable (227 randomly assigned to tamoxifen and 424 randomly assigned to tamoxifen plus chemotherapy). The test for interaction between chemotherapy treatment and RS was statistically significant (P = .038)

    Patients with low-RS (< 18) tumors derived minimal, if any, benefit from chemotherapy treatment (relative risk, 1.31; 95% CI, 0.46 to 3.78; absolute decrease in distant recurrence rate at 10 years: mean, -1.1%; SE, 2.2%). Patients with intermediate-RS tumors did not appear to have a large benefit, but the uncertainty in the estimate can not exclude a clinically important benefit.

    The RS assay not only quantifies the likelihood of breast cancer recurrence in women with node-negative, estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer, but also predicts the magnitude of chemotherapy benefit.

    Clinical prediction

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3089800/

    Kaplan-Meier analysis for time to metastasis as a first event revealed nonoverlapping confidence intervals between low- and high-risk patients, suggesting that the 70-gene microarray test discriminates among tumors with differing metastatic propensity in this cohort (older women), despite use of adjuvant treatment (Fig. 2). Despite this trend, and most probably due to the low metastasis event rate in this cohort, there was no statistically significant difference in time to distant metastasis between patients classified with low-risk or high-risk tumor signatures in the MGH cohort. In contrast, microarray classification of tumors from node-negative NKI patients previously revealed statistically significant differences between high- and low-risk signature patients for time to distant metastasis (P < 0.001; ref. 11).

    This finding that the 70-gene signature molecularly classifies a significant percentage of older age breast cancer patients as "high risk," of which few develop metastatic disease, may offer insight into the process of metastases. Following Paget's hypothesis that metastasis depends both on the "seed" (the cancer cell itself) and the "soil" (the "host"), our findings raise the intriguing hypothesis that most breast cancers in older patients are intrinsically high risk but that this intrinsic metastatic capacity does not become manifest due to other (possibly host) factors in these predominantly postmenopausal patients.

    Because older women with newly diagnosed breast cancer are increasingly being offered adjuvant treatment, in contrast with historical practice patterns, larger studies of the 70-gene signature should be done to determine whether the MammaPrint assay (with its excellent NPV) is clinically useful for pretreatment determination of intrinsic risk in older breast cancer patients. An open question in light of the poor PPV of MammaPrint in older patients is whether there exist additional, clinically useful gene expression signatures for positively predicting distant metastasis risk in the postmenopausal breast cancer population. Clearly, larger studies on postmenopausal breast cancer cohorts will be required to address this issue.

  • BarredOwl
    BarredOwl Member Posts: 2,433
    edited September 2017

    Hi LuvToCraft:

    Re: "I just noticed on my MammaPrint summary page, that it did have 2 dots on the graph for MY individual score of (minus) -.090. These correlated to a 5 yr risk of recurrence of approx 18%, and a ten year of approx 23%. So I guess what I can gather from this info is that the AVERAGE recurrence risk of 29% that is given for high risk, is for everyone within that (minus) -1.0 to 0.0 bracket. So since mine is -.090, the risk is somewhat lower, (not by much, but slightly), than someone e.g, in your above picture, with a .350 score, or even someone with a closer to 0.0 score."

    Based on positioning of the dots, the 5-year and 10-year values do appear slightly different as compared with the sample report. The original topic of this thread related to whether different "high risk" MammaPrint Index ("MPI") values are associated with differences in risk. At the time, we found no evidence for it. Since then, I have seen a few publications indicating that an "ultralow risk" group can be identified. You should ask your MO whether that risk information (~18% and ~23%) is indeed personalized (and not just some weird printing glitch) and if he knows what evidence supports it (either internal Agendia information or a scientific publication).

    __________

    Re: "So my untreated risk in 5 years without ANY treatment would be approx 18%, and perhaps with hormone therapy can be half of that? I would opt out of chemo with those figures."

    I don't know. Please confirm your understanding with your MO.

    Be sure to inquire what type of "recurrence" estimate is it? Is it a measure of distant recurrence risk or any recurrence?

    __________

    Re: "And a side note is that I had read somewhere that the benefits of chemo only kick in for the first 5 years, (as per the blue bottom graph showing 94.6%, and then from 5 to 10 yrs, your risks are the same whether you had chemo or not?"

    Please ask your MO how it works over time. In general, Cardoso stated: "We report 5-year median follow-up results. It is recognized that adjuvant chemotherapy exerts most of its beneficial effects early in the course of the disease (i.e., during the first 5 years), thus justifying our primary end point.24 Since the majority of tumors in our study population were considered to be "luminal," with a continuing risk of relapse beyond 5 years, we acknowledge that long-term follow-up and outcome data will be essential, and we are collecting those data. Hazards for events can have a complex time de- pendence, and Adjuvant! Online and the 70-gene signature were validated for 10-year outcomes; therefore, the planned 10-year follow-up analysis may be of interest."

    __________

    Re: "Have you heard anything about the Prosigna/PAM50 (NanoString Technologies Inc.) I am going to ask my MO if he can request that test. It would definitely help me in my decision. I now have the oncotype showing no chemo needed, the MammaPrint showing a benefit with chemo, so this would be a definite deciding factor."

    I believe the test is included in the ASCO Biomarker Guideline and Update (Free pdfs under PDF tabs):

    2017 ASCO Biomarker Update: http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/JCO.2017.74.0472

    See Table 1, Recommendation 1.10 re ER/PgR–positive, HER2-negative (node- negative) breast cancer.

    2016 ASCO Biomarker Guideline: http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/JCO.2015.65.2289

    Please confirm it with your team, but it appears that the PAM50 risk of recurrence (ROR) score (Prosigna Breast Cancer Prognostic Gene Signature Assay; NanoString Technologies, Seattle, WA) is used "in conjunction with other clinicopathologic variables, to guide decisions on adjuvant systemic therapy."

    Also subject to confirmation with your team, it appears that Prosigna test provides an "Intermediate" risk output in node-negative patients. Per the "Clinical interpretation of literature review" of the 2016 ASCO Biomarker Guideline: "The PAM50-ROR test assists with the decision about adjuvant therapy in patients with ER/PgR-positive, HER2-negative (node-negative) breast cancer.34-36 Chemotherapy should be considered for patients in the PAM50 high-risk group, but is not indicated for patients in the low-risk group. Future studies are needed to inform recommendations about adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with an intermediate PAM50-ROR."

    Consistent with the above, Tables 7 and 8 of the Package Insert suggest that test outputs differ by Risk Category, and that the test yields "Low, Intermediate, High" outputs in the node-negative setting.

    http://prosigna.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/LBL_C02223_06_Package-Insert-Prosigna-Assay-US.pdf

    image

    image

    Patients should discuss with their medical oncologist the possible outcomes of any further testing and whether such further testing may or may not provide added clarity in their individual case.

    __________

    Re: "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4603628/, entitled "Identifying patients at high risk of breast cancer recurrence: strategies to improve patient outcomes" and the quote: << Although there was a suggestion of benefit for chemotherapy added to endocrine therapy in high-risk patients, the level of evidence does not meet the threshold for determining clinical utility.>> (mammaprint)

    This paper was published in October of 2015 and predates publication of the results of the MINDACT trial in August 2016.

    There are a number of studies that show that different tests are not always concordant in individual patients. This is one possible reason why multiple tests may not necessarily clarify the situation for individual patients. The various tests have different designs, different outputs, and varying degrees of validated clinical significance in particular groups of patients, so such comparisons are not always straight-forward. For example, some commentary about one such study noted: "Oncotype DX was validated in patients treated with tamoxifen, while MammaPrint is intended to be used to gauge risk of recurrence for patients ahead of systemic treatment."

    Unfortunately, none of these multiparameter tests has been shown to be a perfect predictor of individual outcome. They can help inform or refine predictions of recurrence risk and sometimes of potential chemotherapy benefit, further informing risk/benefit analyses, but the output is not always as clear a signal as patients would wish for.

    __________

    Re: "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/16720680/"

    This is Paik (2006), one of the main validation trials of the Oncotype test. The results of this study (see Figures 3 and 4 of Paik (2006)) are reproduced in your node-negative Oncotype report (see graph and histogram in second section of the report regarding prediction of chemotherapy benefit).

    From the experiences of others here who received the Oncotype test for invasive disease, clinicians tend to use the first graph from the node-negative Oncotype report to provide average 10-year distant recurrence risk after 5-years Tamoxifen associated with Recurrence Score (10 year distant recurrence risk, Tam Alone), probably because the first graph in the report re "Prognosis" is based on the results from a larger group of patients (668 patients) from the NSABP B-14 trial who were all assigned to receive Tamoxifen. The first graph of the node-negative report is based on Figure 4 of Paik (2004): http://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa041588#t=article

    You can ask your MO if the Oncotype risk information from the first graph of your Oncotype report (with Tam Alone) is still a suitable estimate of your 10-year risk of distant recurrence with endocrine therapy alone, or does information from the MammaPrint and/or BluePrint test alter understanding of your distant recurrence risk with endocrine therapy alone? (AIs are comparable or slightly more effective than Tamoxifen.)

    ________

    Re: "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3089800/"

    This article was published in 2008, before the 2013 publication of RASTER and well before the 2016 publication of MINDACT which included a large number of patients. Please ask your MO whether the observations in this early paper appear to be borne out in the older, post-menopausal patients in subsequent trials, such as RASTER or MINDACT.

    BarredOwl

    [Edited to add information re Oncotype]

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    BarredOwl,

    Again, thank you for the wealth of information you provide. I always read every single bit of it, including every single link you provide. It is so very helpful and I appreciate it!!

    I am going to call Agendia to ask about the risk recurrence, and what type of "recurrence" estimate it is. Is it a measure of distant recurrence risk or any recurrence? I will ask my MO as well.

    I will also ask Agendia and my MO whether the dots on my risk summary page are MY personalized results, and what that means regarding my risk. (~18% and ~23%.)

    (I have spoken previously to the doctor at Agendia and she is very approachable and helpful.)

    << You can ask your MO if the Oncotype risk information from the first graph of your Oncotype report (with Tam Alone) is still a suitable estimate of your 10-year risk of distant recurrence with endocrine therapy alone, or does information from the MammaPrint and/or BluePrint test alter understanding of your distant recurrence risk with endocrine therapy alone? (AIs are comparable or slightly more effective than Tamoxifen.) >>

    I had asked that question, after he was completely willing to toss the oncotype results out the window, and just rely on the MammaPrint. His answer was: We now have new additional information that we can't ignore. I have shown both MO all the literature, the NEJM, the JOCO articles, etc, where is says the MammaPrint should not be done in my situation. (recommendation 1.1.2).

    << This article was published in 2008, before the 2013 publication of RASTER and well before the 2016 publication of MINDACT which included a large number of patients. Please ask your MO whether the observations in this early paper appear to be borne out in the older, post-menopausal patients in subsequent trials, such as RASTER or MINDACT. >>

    Do you have links to these RASTER or MINDACT trials/publications?

    Unfortunately, the results of the MINDACT/MammaPrint seem to only address the three other groups, under which I do not fall:

    Low clinical / low genomic ---> no chemo

    High clinical / high genomic ---> chemo could benefit

    High clinical / low genomic ---> can possibly avoid chemo

    But they were underpowered to answer whether chemo would benefit the discordant group. (My situation: Low clinical / high genomic.)

    MINDACT was not powered to answer whether chemotherapy benefited the patients in the discordant groups. In the intent-to-treat analysis, for the c-High/g-Low group, distant metastasis–free survival was 95.9% with chemotherapy and 94.4% without (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.78, P = .267). For the c-Low/g-High patients, distant metastasis–free survival rates were 95.8% and 95.0%, respectively (HR = 1.17, P = .657).


  • Lisey
    Lisey Member Posts: 1,053
    edited September 2017

    Luv, I need to beg to differ with you on the idea that a oncotype of 21 is low risk. it is NOT. It is intermediate - which has not been determined to be low risk in validation yet. I was a 20, and that was NOT low risk. You got an intermediate risk on the oncotype and a high risk on the mammaprint. To me, they are agreeing with eachother, not discordant at all. I got a 20 on the oncotype and low risk on the mammaprint, and they were not discordant. Intermediate Oncotypes can go either or.

  • LuvToCraft
    LuvToCraft Member Posts: 13
    edited September 2017

    Hi Lisey,

    Thank you for your reply. I realize that a score of 21 is in the intermediate area on the oncotype, however two oncologists both recommended no chemo based on the results. Said I was low clinical risk, ER+, negative nodes, tumor under 2cm, HER2 negative, so they felt it wasn't worth the toxicity of the chemo. But then when the onco called me back with the results of the MammaPrint, (which, by the way, I was the one who asked for that test, not the onco), he said the results were discordant because the MP showed high risk. But if you read:

    http://ascopubs.org/doi/full/10.1200/JCO.2017.74.0...
    Journal of clinical oncology - Use of Biomarkers Aug 2017

    it specifically says that if you are low clinical risk, the MammaPrint should not be used. (which I learned after).

    "Recommendation 1.1.2 (update of Recommendation 1.7). If a patient has ER/PgR–positive [estrogen receptor (ER) and/or progesterone receptor (PgR)–positive], HER2-negative, node-negative, breast cancer, the MammaPrint assay should not be usedin those with low clinical risk per MINDACT categorization to inform decisions on withholding adjuvant systemic chemotherapy as women in the low clinical risk category had excellent outcomes and did not appear to benefit from chemotherapy even with a genomic high-risk cancer (Type: evidence based; Evidence quality: high; Strength of recommendation: strong).

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