Would local recurrence be related to DCIS or invasive component?
Some history...30 months ago I had a uni mastectomy for extensive grade 2 DCIS with necrosis. Final pathology report reflected several areas of micro-invasion, several DCIS margins less than 1mm as well as a 9mm foci of invasive ductal carcinoma, also grade 2, no necrosis present and Oncotype of 8 (6% rate of distant recurrence over 10 years with Tamoxifen). All invasive components had clear margins.
Because of the close DCIS margins, I had 25 rounds of whole breast irradiation.
My understanding is that local recurrence that stems from DCIS has a higher survival rate even if the recurrence is IDC than if the local recurrence stems from an invasive cancer.
Therefore, I am wondering, if I ever do experience a recurrence, is there any way to discern whether it was related to the relatively high risk DCIS or the low risk IDC? I've tried to find literature on local recurrence rates for my pathology and treatment, but I have yet to see a study that includes patients in my situation.
Can anyone shed light or guesses?
Comments
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There is no way to know. However it's most likely that a recurrence would be caused by whatever cancer was closest to the margin. So in your case, if you have a recurrence, because you had close margins on the DCIS but wide margins on the IDC, it's most likely that DCIS cells remained in your breast after surgery, on the other side of that close margin, and were not successfully killed off by the rads. And that's what would cause a recurrence.
But to your comment "My understanding is that local recurrence that stems from DCIS has a higher survival rate even if the recurrence is IDC than if the local recurrence stems from an invasive cancer", where did you hear that? It's not something that I'ver ever heard. Most IDC develops from DCIS, so I wouldn't have thought that there would be any difference whether an invasive local recurrence sourced directly from DCIS, or indirectly from DCIS (i.e. the cancer had evolved to be invasive prior to the first surgery). If there is a study that you've read about this that suggests otherwise, I'd be really interested to read it.
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Here's one that shows that an invasive recurrence of DCIS resulted in a 12 year mortality of 12% and 15% of patients with initial mastectomy and lumpectomy/rads, respectively:
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/m/pubmed/16978940/
I can probably find dozens of studies that show an invasive recurrence of an invasive breast cancer has lower long term survival rates than 12% for mastectomy. I'd be happy to cite a few of these studies if you are interested. -
Ah, but that's an apples and oranges comparison.
If someone has pure DCIS, there is no risk of mets (or virtually no risk). So if that individual then develops an invasive recurrence, because of that recurrence she now does face a risk of mets. This means that if the mortality rate is 12% for women who have invasive recurrences after an initial diagnosis of DCIS, the entire 12% can be attributed to the recurrence.
On the other hand, someone who had an original diagnosis that included invasive cancer would have faced a risk of mets right from the start. Then if she develops an invasive recurrence, she again is at risk of mets. So if in the future she develops mets, there is no way to know if it sourced from the original diagnosis or from the recurrence. Therefore if the mortality rate is 35% for women with IDC who have a local recurrence, it's impossible to know how much of that 35% was caused by the original diagnosis and how much of it was caused by the recurrence. However you have to consider that most women who develop mets never have a local recurrence; this suggests that even among those who do have a local recurrence, probably a large proportion of any cases of mets that develop later were caused by the original cancer, not by the local recurrence. Further evidence of this are the dozens of studies that show that among those who have invasive cancer, mortality rates are virtually the same whether one has a lumpectomy or a mastectomy, even though local recurrence rates are higher for those who have a lumpectomy. The mets is usually not caused by the recurrence.
In your case (as in mine, since I had a microinvasion too), the study that you provided doesn't apply because it refers to women who have a recurrence after an initial diagnosis of DCIS. But neither of us had a diagnosis of DCIS. We had DCIS-Mi, which is Stage I because of that tiny amount of invasive cancer. So what's relevant to the mortality rate is not whether an invasive recurrence develops from DCIS cells or from IDC cells; what's relevant is whether the original diagnosis was pure DCIS (with no associated risk of mets) or whether there was some IDC present (with an associated risk of mets).
For anyone else reading who had pure DCIS and who might be scared by the mortality rates reported in the study and quoted here, keep in mind that these are the mortality rates among those who had an invasive recurrence. In this study, of the women who had a MX for DCIS, only 0.5% had an invasive recurrence. And of the women who had a lumpectomy for DCIS, 12% had an invasive recurrence. So even among those who had a lumpectomy, the mortality rate was less than 2% (15% of the 12% who had an invasive recurrence).
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Your response is exactly why I asked my original question!
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I'm confused. I'm saying that the answer to your original question really doesn't matter. If you have an invasive local recurrence, it doesn't make any difference at all if it sourced from the DCIS component of your original cancer or if it sourced from the invasive component of your original cancer. Your odds of survival won't be any different in either case.
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Are you saying that the mortality rate of a few DCIS cells that were left behind and progress into invasive cancer is the same as a recurrence from floating invasive cells from the original invasive component? If so, I respectfully disagree.
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If you are talking only about the mortality rate from the recurrence itself, not from the original cancer, then yes, that is what I'm saying. A localized invasive recurrence is a localized invasive recurrence. I don't see that it would make any difference if the recurrence sourced from DCIS cells or invasive cancer cells because you have no idea what happened behind the scenes. If the recurrence sourced from DCIS cells, it means you probably had some pretty aggressive DCIS cells that converted to become invasive cancer and developed into a recurrence. You don't know when those cells converted to become IDC - it could have been well before the local recurrence was discovered so they may have been sitting there for a long time, with lots of opportunity to move to the nodes or the bloodstream. Or upon converting, these formerly DCIS cells might be particularly aggressive (which is what led to the conversion to IDC in the first place) and therefore they might move quickly into the bloodstream or the nodes. On the other hand, if the recurrence was caused by invasive cancer cells, those cells might been sitting dormant for a long time before forming into a small local recurrence. The IDC cells might not be particularly aggressive or inclined to travel, and maybe that's why they stuck around in the area of the breast and developed into a local recurrence, rather than go directly to mets.
Look at it this way:
Patient 1: Original Diagnosis - Pure DCIS: Risk of Mets 0%
. Invasive Recurrence sourced from DCIS cells: Risk of Mets 12%
Total Risk of Mets for this DCIS Patient after Invasive Recurrence: 12%
.
Patient 2: Original Diagnosis - DCIS-Mi: Risk of Mets 2%
. Invasive Recurrence (from either DCIS or IDC cells): Risk of Mets 12%
Total Risk of Mets for this DCIS-Mi Patient with Invasive Recurrence: 14%
.
Patient 3: Original Diagnosis - Extensive IDC w/DCIS at margins: Risk of Mets 25%
. Invasive Recurrence (from either DCIS or IDC cells): Risk of Mets 12%
Total Risk of Mets for this IDC Patient with an Invasive Recurrence: 37%
.
Those numbers are just examples but the point I'm trying to make is that the local invasive recurrence probably presents about the same risk in each case, and the same risk whether the recurrence sourced from DCIS cells or IDC cells. The difference that you see in the studies of mortality rates between IDC patients who have an invasive recurrence and DCIS patients who have an invasive recurrence is due to the difference in the risk of mets that they face from the original diagnosis.
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What I'm trying to say is how do I know whether a local recurrence is the result of stray DCIS cells that have progressed, which is a relatively curable condition or a manifestation of a stubborn original invasive cancer that has a significantly higher probability of metastases?
It's very possible that the invasive component was cured by surgery alone. My onc gave it an 85% probability. There is also a high probability that the DCIS was eliminated by surgery/rads. However, the DCIS margins were very, very close and close/positive margins is one of the most significant indicators for local recurrence of DCIS.
I think your first answer was the best...."There is no way to know." -
By definition, a local recurrence happens when some stray cancer cells are left in the breast after surgery and are not subsequently killed off by rads or hormone therapy. Over time (or immediately), those cancer cells start to multiply again and that's how a recurrence happens.
This means that if all of the cancer cells are removed or killed off, you can't have a local recurrence. This is true whether the original cancer cells were DCIS or IDC. In your case, because all of your invasive cancer was very far from the margins, the odds are extremely high that all those IDC cells were surgically removed and therefore you cannot develop a local recurrence that sources from that invasive cancer. On the other hand, since your DCIS was right near the margins, the odds are greater that a few stray DCIS cells might be left around your breast area and if those cells were not killed off by rads, they could develop into a local recurrence. So in your case, I would speculate that a local recurrence is much more likely to be caused by the DCIS rather than the invasive cancer. But if you did have a recurrence, looking at the cells themselves, I don't think there would be any way to actually confirm this.
The problem however is that the risk you face from the invasive cancer isn't gone just because all the cells were removed when you had surgery and therefore can't develop into a local invasive recurrence. That microinvasion came with another risk. With any amount of invasive cancer, it's always possible that some of the cancer cells moved into the body prior to the surgery. If it was only a few cells, it's impossible to find them with any screening method. But over time, these cells can develop into a distant recurrence. So anyone with invasive cancer can develop a distant recurrence, i.e. mets, without ever having a local recurrence. In fact, when mets develops, that's what happens most of the time. This means that your threat from that original invasive cancer isn't gone just because there is little to no risk of a local recurrence.
The other point I'm making is that you've made the assumption that "stray DCIS cells that have progressed" are a "relatively curable condition" whereas an "original invasive cancer (that) has a significantly higher probability of metastases". What I am questioning is that assumption, as it relates to the development of a local recurrence and the risks from that recurrence. DCIS cells that progress to become invasive are invasive cancer, just like any other invasive cancer. They can be extremely aggressive, or they can be relatively indolent. By the same token, those IDC cells that were in your original diagnosis started as DCIS cells, and there is no saying how aggressive, or indolent, they might be. The only difference between the microinvasive IDC cells that were found in your original diagnosis, and any DCIS cells that might progress to become an invasive recurrence, is timing. The timing of when the cell converted from DCIS to become invasive.
For all you know, those microinvasive cells in your original diagnosis might have been DCIS cells just a month earlier, and for all you know, if some DCIS cells were left behind at the margins after your surgery, those cells could have progressed to become IDC a week after your surgery. I'm not saying that would happen but I'm saying that it's possible and you just can't know. In the end, both of those cells - the original microinvasive cells and the invasive recurrence - started as DCIS cells. There is nothing that would suggest that one of those sets of cells would be any more or less aggressive, or curable, than the other. The only significance of the timing difference is that the cells that were still DCIS at the time of your surgery did not have the opportunity, prior to surgery, to move into your nodes and bloodstream, whereas the cells that had already converted to become IDC did have a chance to do that (to the earlier discussion). But if some DCIS cells were left in your breast after surgery and they then progressed to become invasive cancer, at that point the cancer is exactly the same as those original microinvasive cells, and they have the same ability to move to the nodes and into the bloodstream. Invasive cancer is invasive cancer. Most of it started as DCIS, and some invasive cancers are highly aggressive and others are not. The timing of when the cancer evolved from DCIS to become invasive doesn't affect the aggressiveness or curability.
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I think we are saying the same things. I'm not sure why you're arguing with me or implying that I don't understand my diagnosis.
I am not ignorant to the possibility that I may still have invasive cells in my body that could potentially metastasize, whether or not it first presents as a local recurrence. This is the reason I am taking Tamoxifen and had to consider other adjuvant treatment based on an oncotype score, my age, menopausal status and other factors. It is also the reason that I overthink every twinge or bump in my body.
Furthermore, invasive cancer that happens to first present as a local recurrence post-mastectomy has a very high probability of already having metastasized or metastasizing in the near future (greater than 50% in many studies). I am aware that it is not necessarily the local recurrence itself that causes the metastases, but the nature of the original cancer and the local recurrence may just be the first presentation of metastases. On the other hand, local recurrence post mastectomy from pure DCIS has a relatively better prognosis (i.e. 12% mortality in the study I cited).
What I would want to know is whether any local recurrence is related to the DCIS component or the first presentation that the invasive component of my cancer is more aggressive than previously believed. Again, I am not talking about the risks from the recurrence itself, but that the local recurrence could be a sign of more serious developments.
Thank you for your analysis that concluded with "So in your case, I would speculate that a local recurrence is much more likely to be caused by the DCIS rather than the invasive cancer. But if you did have a recurrence, looking at the cells themselves, I don't think there would be any way to actually confirm this." However, I do want to mention that with invasive cancer, margin status post mastectomy isn't necessarily the main driver of local recurrence. Tumor size, grade, nodal status and presence of LVI are also mentioned as factors in various literature. -
Noquitter,
Thank you for the reminder. I sometimes get so caught up in studies and statistics that I often forget the big picture. -
kittymama, I don't mean to be arguing with you. I just find these sorts of discussions to be fascinating. And as the discussion goes on and as we all do more digging and explaining, I usually learn something new.
You said “I am aware that it is not necessarily the local recurrence itself that causes the metastases, but the nature of the original cancer and the local recurrence may just be the first presentation of metastases.
So yes, we are agreeing. As I interpreted some of your earlier posts, this did not seem to be what you were saying – I think what's started the confusion for me. For extra clarity then (for others reading who may not be commenting) I would add to your next sentence:
“On the other hand, local recurrence post mastectomy from pure DCIS has a relatively better prognosis (i.e. 12% mortality in the study I cited) than the overall prognosis of an invasive cancer that recurs.”
In other words, those who start with DCIS and then have an invasive recurrence have a higher survival rate than those who start with invasive cancer and then have a local recurrence. The higher survival rate is driven by nature of the original cancer, not the source of the recurrence. That’s the main point that I’ve been trying to make.
You also said "However, I do want to mention that with invasive cancer, margin status post mastectomy isn't necessarily the main driver of local recurrence. Tumor size, grade, nodal status and presence of LVI are also mentioned as factors in various literature."
Yes, I agree here too, and that’s a very important point. These factors are obviously critical when it comes to the risk of distant recurrence but they also are important factors when assessing local recurrence risk. The size and grade of the tumor are suggestive of the tumor’s aggressiveness and propensity to grow/spread and that will impact recurrence risk. Similarly, LVI and positive nodal status are signs that the cancer has been on the move, which increases the risk that there may be some random cancer cells somewhere in the breast away from the primary tumor, or up against the chest wall. So margins are important but they are certainly not the only factor.
As you said, a local recurrence after an invasive cancer diagnosis might be the first sign of metastasis. Here’s an article that really brings that point home:
Local Recurrence After Mastectomy or Breast-Conserving Surgery and Radiation
What these doctors found is that whether one has a MX or lumpectomy, the most important prognostic factor related to local recurrence is the time interval to recurrence. The earlier you see a local recurrence, the greater the risk that the patient will be found to have mets. The longer the time to local recurrence, the less likely that the patient will develop mets. So this suggests that an early local recurrence is the sign of a highly aggressive cancer, a cancer that quite possibly has already seeded as mets.
Now that’s something I didn’t know before and that I learned from this exchange.
Edited to removed a paragraph with some information related to Noquitter's comments. Noquitter had posted in this thread but then deleted all her posts across the board. So my reply seemed to be completely out of context without her original comments.
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Noquitter, THANK YOU!
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